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Why life sciences market entry fails in the Gulf

The UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar increasingly function as complementary hubs rather than standalone life sciences markets

Rajiv Pillai
Rajiv Pillai

14 January, 2026

Why life sciences market entry fails in the Gulf
Anastasia Bystritskaya/Image: Supplied

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Life sciences companies expanding into the Gulf often approach the region with strong capital backing and ambitious growth targets, yet many struggle to achieve scale. According to global life science market analyst Anastasia Bystritskaya, the problem is rarely market potential. Instead, it lies in how companies design their entry strategies.

“Treating each market as a standalone system duplicates infrastructure, increases costs and slows execution,” Bystritskaya said. “Cross border logistics and trade are now the backbone.”

She points to the region’s rapidly integrated logistics infrastructure as evidence that country-by-country playbooks are increasingly outdated. Saudi Arabia’s 950km Landbridge railway is expected to cut transit times between the Red Sea and the Gulf, while the Kingdom’s $267bn logistics push targets 59 logistics zones by 2030. The UAE hosts one of the world’s top 10 container ports, and Qatar operates the eighth busiest cargo airport globally.

“Building separate supply chains in each country, instead of using these hubs as regional distribution nodes, is inefficient,” she said.

The same fragmentation often appears in commercial setup. “Fully independent entities in every market burn runway,” Bystritskaya noted. “Partnership led models move faster.”

She cited Valbiotis’ exclusive agreement with UAE-based Mena Nutrition, which enabled the company to enter the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon and Iraq using existing regulatory and commercial infrastructure. Endocare, meanwhile, used the UAE as an operational base and partnered with Riyadh’s The Clinics to scale into Saudi Arabia.

From a strategic perspective, Bystritskaya argues that the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar increasingly function as complementary hubs rather than standalone life sciences markets.

“The three markets are specialising into hubs that work better together,” she said.

Saudi Arabia has emerged as the region’s demand and investment heavyweight, with population scale that supports multinational clinical trials. She highlighted AstraZeneca’s INTERSTELLAR lupus study, which spans sites in Riyadh, Jeddah and Abha. The UAE, by contrast, plays the role of logistics connector and coordination base for regional research and development.

“The Dubai Research, Development and Innovation Grant Initiative has backed projects involving researchers from Saudi Arabia and Qatar,” she said, adding that digital infrastructure — including 5G rollout, AI-ready data centres and regulatory agility — supports digital health and precision medicine companies serving the wider Middle East.

Qatar, meanwhile, has prioritised diagnostics and genomics. “High consanguinity rates drive demand for advanced genomics, including work on Fructose 1,6 Bisphosphatase deficiency, which increases the need for sophisticated NGS capacity,” Bystritskaya said.

The strategic lesson

The strategic takeaway, she argues, is clear. “The strategic lesson is to design for interconnectedness and localise with discipline, putting manufacturing and clinical investments where they fit, Saudi Arabia for volume and the UAE for high tech logistics and coordination.”

Regulation, often perceived by foreign entrants as restrictive, should instead be read as a roadmap for investment. In Saudi Arabia, reimbursement frameworks are clearly defined. “The Saudi Clinical Practice Guideline for the Assessment and Management of Low Back Pain, issued under the National Guidelines Programme, outlines diagnostics and therapies funded by the public system,” she said. “Aligning with these pathways lowers entry risk and clarifies demand.”

In the UAE, prevention-led policy is shaping funded demand for diagnostics. “Abu Dhabi’s Ef7es program, linked to the Thiqa insurance scheme, mandates regular screening for citizens aged 18 and above,” Bystritskaya said. “The National Genome Program is embedding genetic data into patient records, signalling demand for personalised therapies and a data intensive care model.”

Digital health is also being pulled forward by public investment. “Saudi Arabia and the UAE have committed roughly $65bn to digital health infrastructure under Vision 2030 and related initiatives,” she noted, adding that Abu Dhabi’s Department of Government Enablement aims to become an AI native government by 2027.

Local manufacturing has become another defining pillar of GCC life sciences strategies. Saudi Arabia’s logistics investments are creating manufacturing corridors that improve reliability for time-sensitive biologics, while the UAE is reinforcing its re-export and pharma logistics role.

“Emirates SkyCargo’s Vital service, purpose built for clinical trials and gene therapies, reported a 54 per cent increase in volumes, indicating cold chain capacity is operating at scale,” Bystritskaya said.

Regulatory enforcement

Regulatory enforcement also matters. “Saudi Arabia’s SFDA Drug Track and Trace System, RSD, is being enforced and integrated across pharmacy supply chains to improve drug security and data integrity.”

State-backed demand can further offset localisation risk. “The UAE’s Federal National Council has tied local pharmaceutical manufacturing to national security and advanced legislation around strategic stockpiling, supporting offtake mechanisms for essential medicines,” she said.

In this environment, Bystritskaya argues that relationships themselves have become a form of infrastructure. “Readiness now includes institutional alignment,” she said. “Relationships with sovereign wealth funds, regulators and local conglomerates often determine speed to market.”

She pointed to recent participation by Qatari and Abu Dhabi sovereign funds, including QIA and MGX, in a $20bn AI infrastructure raise as a signal of intent to build the compute backbone required for advanced biomedical research.

Read: Bupa CareConnect CEO on building a connected, patient-centric healthcare ecosystem

However, a major disconnect remains between investor expectations and operational reality — particularly around talent. “Talent is the biggest gap under nationalisation mandates,” she said. Saudisation requirements in pharmacy and engineering, alongside rising expectations in the UAE to move beyond packaging into advanced manufacturing, are exposing skills shortages in deep technical STEM roles.

This is forcing sustained workforce investment, automation and shadow programmes where expatriate specialists train local counterparts. “The UAE’s Make it in the Emirates and Saudi Arabia’s NIDLP are as much technology adoption programs as industrial policy,” she said.

Cost assumptions present another risk. Imported raw materials and APIs can limit true local value addition to 10–20 per cent of final product value, while limited visibility beyond Tier 1 suppliers leaves operations exposed to global disruptions.

The future

Looking ahead, Bystritskaya says early indicators of success are becoming clearer. “Alignment with prevention priorities is a strong signal,” she said, pointing to the UAE’s National Genome Program and mandatory screening initiatives. Operating design is equally telling. “Treating GCC markets as isolated silos is a stall pattern.”

Her final advice to decision makers is unequivocal. “Treat regulation as an investment roadmap and plan for institutional alignment from day one,” she said. “The export to the Gulf playbook is expiring. The next phase is creating with the region.”

Companies that align with national priorities and position themselves as contributors to industrial and scientific sovereignty, she concluded, are far more likely to secure a durable licence to operate across the Gulf.

Note: Anastasia Bystritskaya is a global life science market analyst and you can find more information about her over here.

The future of security is intelligence at the edge, says Loubna Imenchal

Axis Communications’ Loubna Imenchal explains how the region is moving beyond basic surveillance towards interoperable, AI-driven systems built for scale, resilience and real-world decision-making

Neesha Salian
Neesha Salian

13 January, 2026

The future of security is intelligence at the edge, says Loubna Imenchal
Images: Supplied

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As the security industry shifts from passive surveillance to intelligent, data-driven systems, Axis Communications is positioning itself at the centre of that transformation.

On the sidelines of Intersec Dubai 2026, Loubna Imenchal, MD for the Middle East, Turkey, Central Asia and Africa, discusses how the sector is evolving, what’s driving growth across the region, and why interoperability, edge intelligence and long-term system resilience are now non-negotiable.

What are you showcasing at Intersec?

At Intersec Dubai 2026, Axis Communications is showcasing how network video and sensing technologies are evolving into intelligent systems that support both security and operational decision-making.

At our stand, visitors will see the latest Axis solutions for smart traffic, stadiums and arenas, and critical infrastructure, including thermal cameras, radar technology and fusion cameras. These solutions are designed for complex environments where accuracy, reliability and fast response are essential.

We are also highlighting our expanding IP audio portfolio, including display speakers and cloud-based audio solutions, as well as our growing IoT offering, such as air quality sensors.

These smart devices demonstrate how security infrastructure can also generate valuable data that supports dashboards, analytics and more informed, real-time decisions.

What is the anticipated growth of the security industry in 2026?

The security and video surveillance market continues to grow at a strong pace globally, with the broader ecosystem expanding at an estimated 10–12 per cent CAGR through the late 2020s.

In the Middle East, Turkey and Africa (META) region, growth is expected to outpace global averages, driven by long-term national visions extending toward 2035–2040.

Large-scale investments in smart cities, transportation, tourism and critical infrastructure are accelerating demand for intelligent, network-based and AI-enabled security systems.

Importantly, growth is shifting toward higher-value segments. Advanced surveillance solutions that combine analytics, edge processing and multiple sensor types are growing faster than traditional CCTV, reflecting a regional focus on security systems that deliver operational insight and long-term value, not just video footage.

What trends will dominate the sector this year?

Several trends are shaping the security sector in 2026. The most significant is the move away from standalone surveillance towards intelligent systems that support both security and day-to-day operations. One example of this shift is the move towards connected ecosystems rather than individual products.

Customers want solutions that work well together, are easier to manage across large environments and can grow over time. This is especially important in complex settings where systems are expected to stay in place for many years and adapt as needs change.

Another key trend is the move towards smarter processing at the edge. More analysis is happening directly in cameras and sensors, with cloud and central systems used where they add value. This allows faster response, more reliable operation and less dependence on central infrastructure.

There is also increasing demand for mobile and temporary security solutions. Better connectivity, lower power use and more capable analytics are making it easier to deploy security quickly in places where permanent infrastructure is not practical, such as construction sites, temporary venues or fast-changing environments.

Finally, there is a growing focus on technology ownership and control. Vendors are investing more in their core platforms to ensure long-term performance, built-in cybersecurity and the ability to improve systems through software updates rather than frequent hardware replacement.

Together, these trends point to a security sector that is becoming more intelligent, flexible and future-ready, where long-term value is just as important as detection capability.

What are some best practices to stay ahead of security attacks?

Staying ahead of security threats starts with choosing technology that is designed to be secure by default. This includes devices with built-in cybersecurity, secure hardware foundations, regular firmware updates and strong access control.

As security systems become more connected, protecting devices at the hardware level and managing encryption keys securely is just as important as software security.

Equally important is working with vendors that provide long-term support. Threats evolve, and security systems must be updated and adapted over time to remain effective, rather than replaced entirely.

What are your projected growth plans this year?

While Asia Pacific continues to lead globally in absolute scale and total installations, the META region is among the fastest-growing markets in percentage terms, driven by long-term structural investments rather than short-term demand.

In the Middle East, double-digit growth is being fuelled by mega-projects, smart city initiatives, national digital transformation programs and strong adoption of AI-enabled, analytics-driven cameras across sectors such as airports, critical infrastructure, retail and hospitality.

Markets like the UAE and Saudi Arabia are rapidly shifting from traditional CCTV to intelligent, network-based systems. Turkey is emerging as a high-growth convergence market, driven by modernisation of infrastructure, transportation and industrial security, alongside growing demand for scalable IP and AI-ready solutions.

Africa represents a strong long-term opportunity, with urbanisation and population growth accelerating adoption in transport, city surveillance, utilities and critical infrastructure. Many deployments are leapfrogging directly to IP-based and edge-enabled systems.

Overall, META stands out globally for its growth velocity and transition toward intelligent, insight-driven security systems, positioning it as one of the most strategically important regions for security cameras over the next five years.

School traffic jams in Dubai: How is RTA trying to solve the problem in 2026

The pilot will adhere to the highest safety and security standards for school transport and will comply with Dubai’s regulatory frameworks

Nida Sohail
Nida Sohail

13 January, 2026

School traffic jams in Dubai: How is RTA trying to solve the problem in 2026
Image credit: Getty Images

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The Roads and Transport Authority (RTA) in Dubai is set to roll out a new pilot initiative focused on school transport pooling during the first quarter of 2026.

The program aims to enhance daily mobility for students while advancing Dubai’s vision for a smart and sustainable transport system. The initiative will be implemented in collaboration with Yango Group and Urban Express Transport. The announcement follows the signing of two memoranda of understanding (MoUs) between RTA and the two companies, Dubai Media Office reported.

Read more-UAE revises Friday timings for public schools from Jan 9

Ahmed Hashem Bahrozyan, CEO of the Public Transport Agency, signed on behalf of RTA. Islam Abdul Karim, regional head of Yango Group, and Dr Mohammad Al Hashimi, founder and CEO of Urban Express Transport, signed on behalf of their respective companies.

Addressing growing traffic challenges around schools

Ahmed Hashem Bahrozyan highlighted the motivation behind the initiative: “In recent years, there has been a noticeable increase in the number of private vehicles used to transport students, which directly affects traffic flow around school zones. Through this initiative, RTA aims to offer an alternative school transport solution at affordable rates, helping to improve traffic movement and deliver a more efficient daily mobility experience.”

He emphasised that the pilot will adhere to the highest safety and security standards for school transport and will fully comply with Dubai’s regulatory and legislative frameworks. “The initiative will incorporate smart technological solutions for trip management, vehicle tracking, and operational monitoring, ensuring efficiency and service quality for parents and students alike,” Bahrozyan added.

Pooling buses to boost efficiency

The pilot program involves operating shared buses that serve multiple schools within defined geographic zones. This approach is expected to accelerate student arrivals and reduce congestion around schools. Bahrozyan noted that the initiative aligns with Dubai’s broader strategic objectives, including digital transformation and environmental sustainability.

“The initiative aims to explore innovative school transport models based on pooling, supporting better vehicle utilisation, reducing traffic congestion during peak hours, and raising safety and quality standards in student transport services,” he said. “It represents a step change in developing new models for school transport in Dubai. The pilot will allow us to assess outcomes, measure operational and societal impact, and explore the potential for a wider rollout in the future, reinforcing Dubai’s leadership in smart mobility solutions.”

Private partners bring data-driven innovation

Islam Abdul Karim of Yango Group highlighted the operational advantages of the partnership: “School transport is one of the most complex and congested daily mobility challenges in any city, sitting at the intersection of safety, efficiency, cost, and family routines. Through this pilot with RTA, we are introducing a data-driven school transport pooling model that groups students traveling along similar routes into shared buses operating on optimised schedules.”

He added that the initiative will improve route planning, vehicle utilisation, and real-time oversight, reducing peak-hour traffic and enhancing service reliability. “Our goal is to provide a safer, more affordable, and convenient experience for families,” Karim said.

Dr Mohammad Al Hashimi, founder & CEO of Urban Express Transport, expressed enthusiasm for the collaboration: “Urban Express Transport is proud to support this strategic school transport optimization project. By leveraging innovative approaches such as school bus pooling and flexible services, the initiative aims to reduce congestion, improve bus utilisation, and enhance the daily travel experience for students. It aligns perfectly with Dubai’s long-term transport vision, delivering safer, more sustainable, and cost-effective mobility solutions.”

The pilot program represents a significant step toward transforming school transport in Dubai, combining technology, sustainability, and operational efficiency to create smarter, safer, and more convenient travel for students and families alike.

UAE launches Federal Government Real Estate Assets Platform: Details revealed

The initiative aligns with the vision of promoting excellence across all sectors by enhancing operational efficiency and automating procedures

Gulf Business
Gulf Business

13 January, 2026

UAE launches Federal Government Real Estate Assets Platform: Details revealed
Image credit: WAM/Website

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The Ministry of Finance (MoF) in UAE has officially launched the Federal Government Real Estate Assets Platform, a centralised digital system aimed at documenting, managing, and continuously updating data on federal real estate assets in line with the highest standards of transparency and operational efficiency.

The launch marks a key milestone in the government’s broader digital transformation agenda, reinforcing efforts to modernise public asset management and enhance data-driven decision-making across federal entities, a WAM report said.

Read more-Dubai real estate hits record AED917bn in transactions in 2025

The launch event was attended by Younis Haji AlKhoori, undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance, and Mariam Mohamed Al Amiri, assistant undersecretary for the Government Financial Management Sector at the ministry. The event also brought together representatives from federal entities, government officials, and specialists in asset management and digital technologies.

As part of the programme, the event featured a panel discussion exploring the role of artificial intelligence in government asset management, alongside an interactive presentation that offered a live demonstration of the platform’s technical features and operational capabilities.

Regulatory compliance and strategic alignment

The platform was launched in compliance with Article 18 of Federal Decree-Law No. (35) of 2023 concerning Union-Owned Properties. The legislation mandates the Ministry of Finance to establish an electronic registry for federal real estate assets, ensuring unified documentation and governance at the federal level.

AlKhoori emphasised that the platform reflects the ministry’s commitment to the full digital transformation of government resource and asset management. He noted that the initiative aligns with the leadership’s vision of promoting excellence across all sectors by enhancing operational efficiency, rationalising expenditure, and automating procedures.

Enhancing governance and decision-making

According to AlKhoori, the platform is expected to deliver a paradigm shift in the organisation, governance, and management of federal real estate assets. By providing accurate, up-to-date, and reliable data, the system strengthens transparency and supports informed policymaking and strategic planning related to federal properties.

Al Amiri highlighted the platform’s role in unifying federal real estate asset data and improving its quality, while linking it to relevant financial and operational processes. She said this integration will enable faster access to information and improve efficiency in planning and expenditure across federal entities.

She added that the platform has been designed to be practical and easy to use, allowing entities to register and update asset data under unified classifications, manage leasable spaces, and process requests through automated procedures that reduce time and effort while reinforcing transparency and governance.

The platform provides federal entities with a strategic tool to register, monitor, and manage real estate assets through a structured and methodical approach. Its intuitive workflow simplifies classification and review processes while offering a comprehensive suite of digital services that enhance operational efficiency.

The launch represents a significant step toward building an integrated federal asset management system, reinforcing the UAE’s global leadership in public financial management and supporting its vision for a more sustainable and innovative government sector.

Global central bank chiefs back Fed’s Powell amid Trump threat

The US administration’s criminal probe is formally about the renovation of the Fed’s headquarters

Reuters
Reuters

13 January, 2026

Global central bank chiefs back Fed’s Powell amid Trump threat
Image: Getty Images

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The chiefs of many of the world’s major central banks issued a joint statement in support of Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday after the Trump administration threatened him with a criminal indictment.

“We stand in full solidarity with the Federal Reserve System and its Chair Jerome H. Powell,” the heads of the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and nine other institutions said.

“The independence of central banks is a cornerstone of price, financial and economic stability in the interest of the citizens that we serve,” they added.

The US administration’s criminal probe is formally about the renovation of the Fed’s headquarters but Powell called it a “pretext” to win presidential influence over interest rates.

Read: Markets look through Trump-Powell drama as momentum favours risk assets

Markets look through Trump-Powell drama as momentum favours risk assets

Political pressure from President Donald Trump could undermine the Fed’s independence, prompting investors to reassess dollar exposure

Vijay Valecha
Vijay Valecha

13 January, 2026

Markets look through Trump-Powell drama as momentum favours risk assets
Federal Reserve and Chair Jerome Powell/Image: Getty Images

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Global markets remain finely balanced between resilient growth signals and rising political and geopolitical uncertainty. US equities continue to trade near record highs, supported by a soft-landing narrative and steady liquidity conditions, even as questions around Federal Reserve independence and renewed geopolitical flashpoints drive sharp moves in gold, currencies and oil.

In this market comment, Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial, assesses the latest developments across equities, commodities, currencies and energy, and outlines what current price action and positioning signal for investors in the days ahead.

Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial

US markets

SPX rose by 1.5 per cent last week, reaching an all-time high close at $6,966. This morning, during the Asian trading session, SPX is down 0.56 per cent.

Last week’s softer December non-farm payrolls print reinforced the soft-landing narrative rather than raising recession concerns. The unemployment rate eased to 4.4 per cent. Markets are now pricing in almost a non-existent chance of a Fed Rate Cut in January. Today’s price action shows more calm than caution, as investors feel comfortable with growth moderating but not breaking. The underlying fundamentals are very supportive. While political headlines and noise around the Federal Reserve and Chair Jerome Powell have added short-term volatility, markets continue to look through this and focus on earnings, liquidity and macro stability.

This week’s key data: CPI on Tuesday, PPI on Wednesday and GDP on Thursday, will be important, but unless inflation surprises meaningfully to the upside, the data flow should remain equity-friendly. The earnings season also kicks off with major financials reporting, including JPMorgan Chase on Tuesday, followed by Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup on Wednesday, and Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and BlackRock on Thursday. These results will be closely watched for signals on credit quality, margins and capital markets activity.

From a technical and options positioning standpoint, the setup remains constructive. The index has formed a Morning Star pattern, signalling bullish momentum, and continues to respect a rising trendline connecting the November 20, December 17 and January 2 lows. The options positioning data also supports a push higher for the SPX, coupled with subdued implied volatility, positive dealer gamma, and steady 0 DTE flows, helping cushion pullbacks. Longer-dated hedging remains measured, suggesting prudence rather than fear. Support levels are seen at Friday’s low at $6,918, followed by last week’s low at $6,890. On the upside, resistance is seen at the all-time high of $6,978, followed by the psychological $7,000 level. Overall, momentum, structure and positioning point to continued upside, with dips likely to be viewed as buying opportunities rather than the start of a deeper correction.

Gold and silver

Gold rises higher: Is a $3,400 breakout next as dollar stumbles?
Image credit: Getty Images

Gold closed above $4,500 on Friday and is up 1.5 per cent today, reaching new record highs and briefly hitting $4,600 per ounce. This exponential rise was driven by growing geopolitical tensions and concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence, which increased demand for safe-haven assets. Ongoing unrest in Iran, renewed US military pressure on Venezuela, and uncertainty about the Fed, following Chair Jerome Powell’s claim that the Trump administration threatened him with criminal action over Congressional testimony, have all added to concerns about central bank credibility.

Adding to the bullish momentum, Friday’s US labour data showed weaker job growth (NFP +50K vs. 66K expected), reinforcing expectations for two Fed rate cuts this year. This backdrop favours non-yielding assets like gold. Moreover, the US dollar has retreated from a one-month high, further boosting bullion.

Silver also jumped to record highs, reflecting the same macro and geopolitical drivers. The broader outlook for both precious metals remains meaningfully bullish, with haven flows likely to dominate amid ongoing geopolitical developments.

On the daily charts, gold may face resistance around $4,655 on the ascending trendline formed by joining the highs of Oct 27, Nov 13 and Dec 26, 2025. Support lies at the psychological level of $4,500. Silver is trading at an all-time high, having crossed $84.40 in the Asian session today. Silver may face resistance around $85, while support is seen at Friday’s high of $80.50.

Read: Global central bank chiefs back Fed’s Powell amid Trump threat

US Dollar Index (DXY)

US Fed
Image credit: Getty Images

The US dollar has reversed sharply after two weeks of gains and is now back below the 99 handle, down around 0.32 per cent near 98.89. The pullback follows reports that US federal prosecutors are probing Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony on Federal Reserve building renovations. The episode has revived concerns that political pressure from President Donald Trump could undermine the Fed’s independence, prompting investors to reassess dollar exposure. What had been a yield-supported rally has quickly given way to credibility risk.

US data has added another layer of complexity. NFP rose by just 50,000 in December, below November’s revised 56,000 and below expectations. While the report keeps the door open for near-term Fed easing, it does little to support aggressive rate-cut pricing. But rather, the political overhang has dominated, overwhelming what would otherwise be a modestly dollar-positive backdrop. As a result, the nfp dollar gains have unwound quickly.

EUR/USD has benefited from the dollar’s retreat, with the pair moving higher on renewed confidence that US policy will remain constrained by institutional checks. That said, upside may be limited as easing euro-area inflation dampens expectations for further ECB tightening. In contrast, USD/JPY hit around a one-year high today and remains elevated despite the softer dollar tone, supported by rising Japanese yield expectations tied to snap election speculation and further fiscal expansion.

On the technical front, the dollar is taking support from its 200-day SMA of 98.824. If the index breaks below, the next support lies at the confluence of the 9-day and 100-day SMA of 98.6. Resistance lies at the psychological level of 99. The EURUSD pair has reversed its two weeks of losses and is up 0.43 per cent, at around 1.1684. Support lies at 50-day SMA of 1.1653. Resistance lies at 1.1703, a previous support turned resistance.

Crude oil

Oil August 1
Image: Pixabay

Oil prices are trading higher on Monday after ending last week in the green. WTI rose by 2.45 per cent last week and is up 0.59 per cent today.

Oil prices are supported by protests in Iran, raising fears that oil supplies from the OPEC country could be disrupted. There have even been calls for oil workers to stop working, which could put about 1.9 million barrels per day of Iranian oil exports at risk. US President Donald Trump has warned he may intervene if force is used against protesters and is expected to meet his advisers to discuss options on Iran. A US intervention in the matter could fuel further geopolitical tensions, adding to the bullish momentum.

Read: Oil set to weaken as surplus builds despite geopolitical risks: Goldman

However, the price gains appear limited as Venezuela is expected to restart oil exports. Trump said last week that the Venezuelan government is expected to hand over up to 50 million barrels of sanctioned oil to the United States. This has triggered a rush among oil companies to find tankers and organise shipments from Venezuela’s damaged ports.From a technical perspective, WTI is trading above 9 and 21 SMA. Daily RSI is at 68, indicating strong buying momentum building up. On the 1-hour chart, immediate support is at $58.8 followed by $57.7 which coincides with the 200 SMA and 8th Jan 2026 breakout. Resistance is seen at $59.8, followed by $60.2. Brent has immediate support at $62.6 and resistance is at $63.5 on the 1-hour chart.

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