Gold regains its allure with record high prices on safe-haven demand

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Gold prices hit a record high on Thursday, and logged their best month in over three years, propelled by US interest rate cut expectations and strong safe-haven demand.

Spot gold rates

Spot gold XAU= gained 1.2 per cent to $2,220.85 per ounce as of 1:50 pm EDT (1750 GMT), logging its best month since July 2020, at a 9 per cent increase, and a second straight quarterly rise. Bullion hit a record high of $2,225.09 per ounce earlier in the session.

US gold futures settled 1.2 per cent higher at $2,238.4.

Traders are “position squaring ahead of the holidays and (increasing) trading activity into the month-end and quarter-end,” said Daniel Ghali, commodity strategist at TD Securities, which has boosted gold prices.

Gold could rise further if the markets start to expect a deeper Fed cutting cycle, and has the potential to “hold on to these highs, but we do see signs of buying exhaustion emerging in the very near term,” Ghali added.

International pressures

The prices are also gaining due to “the fact that there are still major geopolitical tensions globally,” which could push investors to turn to gold as a neutral reserve asset, said Everett Millman, chief market analyst with Gainesville Coins.

While there are some indications that inflation is running hotter than policymakers would like, that does not necessarily explain the high valuations for gold right now, Millman added.

The US core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index report is due on Friday, which could help investors gauge the Fed’s policy stance.

Traders are currently pricing in a 64 per cent chance of a June rate cut, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.

“The new & higher Gold floor is $2,000 per ounce which is symbolic of this new macro regime – Central Banks are tolerating ‘higher for longer’ inflation,” MKS PAMP wrote in a note.

Silver XAG= gained 0.7 per cent to $24.82 per ounce, platinum XPT= rose 1.4 per cent to $906.33 and palladium XPD= added 3 per cent to $1,012.72.

All three metals were bound for monthly gains.