NCM warns of unsettled weather across the UAE: What to expect
The outlook points to a combination of falling temperatures, strong winds, dusty conditions, rainfall, and increasingly rough sea conditions
15 January, 2026
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The UAE is entering a period of unsettled winter weather that is expected to stretch from Thursday through Monday, January 19, according to forecasts issued by the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM).
The outlook points to a combination of falling temperatures, strong winds, dusty conditions, intermittent rainfall, and increasingly rough sea conditions, particularly in the Arabian Gulf.
The evolving weather pattern reflects shifting atmospheric pressure systems affecting the region, prompting authorities to advise residents and maritime operators to closely monitor official updates and exercise caution. With the potential for reduced visibility, rough seas, and fluctuating temperatures, the coming days could present operational challenges for coastal activities, transportation, and outdoor business operations, a WAM report said.
Read more-Changeable weather across UAE: Here’s what to expect
According to the NCM’s detailed weather bulletin dated Thursday, Rajab 26, 1447 (January 15, 2026), the UAE is currently influenced by a combination of meteorological factors. An extension of a weak surface low-pressure system from the east, coupled with a high-pressure system from the west and a weak upper-level low, is shaping weather conditions across the country.
This interaction between pressure systems is responsible for the fluctuating cloud cover, strengthening winds, and shifting humidity levels expected across coastal, internal, and mountainous regions. As a result, the UAE is set to experience a dynamic weather cycle marked by cooling temperatures in the short term, followed by a gradual warming trend early next week.
Thursday marks start of cooling trend
On Thursday, conditions are expected to be humid during the morning in some western areas, with skies ranging from partly cloudy to cloudy at times, particularly over coastal and northern regions. The NCM has indicated a possibility of rainfall during the day, alongside a noticeable decrease in temperatures moving westward.
Winds are forecast to be light to moderate initially, strengthening gradually over the sea and becoming strong at times by night. These winds may cause blowing dust and sand, leading to reduced horizontal visibility in exposed areas. Sea conditions are expected to range from moderate to rough, becoming very rough at times by night in the Arabian Gulf, while remaining light to moderate in the Oman Sea.
Friday brings dusty conditions and stronger winds
Weather conditions are set to intensify on Friday, with dusty and partly cloudy skies forecast across much of the country. Low clouds are expected to form over coastal and northern areas, accompanied by another significant drop in temperatures.
Northwesterly winds are expected to strengthen further, becoming moderate to fresh and reaching speeds of up to 60 km/hr at times. These conditions are likely to result in blowing dust and sand, causing further reductions in visibility. Sea conditions are forecast to be very rough to rough in the Arabian Gulf and rough in the Oman Sea, potentially affecting maritime operations.
Weekend Outlook: Continued instability
Partly cloudy conditions are expected to persist into Saturday, with low clouds continuing over some coastal and northern areas. Winds are forecast to remain moderate to fresh from the northwest, occasionally causing blowing dust.
Humidity levels are expected to rise by night and into Sunday morning, particularly over internal areas, increasing the likelihood of mist formation. Sea conditions are forecast to remain rough in the Arabian Gulf and range from rough to moderate in the Oman Sea.
On Sunday, the weather will remain partly cloudy to cloudy at times, especially over coastal and northern regions by night. Humidity is expected to increase further, with a chance of fog and mist forming over internal areas during the night and into Monday morning. Winds will remain moderate to fresh, while sea conditions may become rough intermittently in both the Arabian Gulf and the Oman Sea.
Monday signals gradual improvement
By Monday, January 19, weather conditions are expected to show gradual improvement. The NCM forecasts partly cloudy to cloudy skies at times over coastal and northern areas, with a continued chance of rainfall. Temperatures are expected to rise gradually, marking the beginning of a warming trend.
Humidity will increase again by night and into Tuesday morning over internal areas, while winds are expected to ease slightly, blowing from the southwesterly to northwesterly direction at light to moderate speeds. Sea conditions are forecast to become slight in both the Arabian Gulf and the Oman Sea, signaling calmer maritime conditions.
Temperature and wind overview
Temperature ranges will vary across regions throughout the period. Coastal and island areas are expected to see maximum temperatures ranging from 27°C to 23°C and minimums between 16°C and 11°C. Internal areas will experience slightly higher daytime temperatures, while mountainous regions will remain cooler.
Wind speeds across all regions are expected to fluctuate, with gusts reaching up to 50 km/h in coastal areas and up to 45 km/hr in internal and mountainous regions, reinforcing the potential for dusty conditions and reduced visibility.
The NCM has urged residents to follow official weather updates and exercise caution, particularly during periods of strong winds, dusty conditions, and rough seas. Businesses operating in logistics, construction, marine transport, and outdoor services may need to factor weather-related disruptions into short-term planning as the unsettled conditions unfold.

























