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Dubai real estate has a bright spot: Office demand is soaring

Commercial real estate sales in Dubai have surged more than 210 per cent in 2026, with office demand emerging as one of the strongest indicators of business confidence

Ali Shahin
Ali Shahin

21 May, 2026

Dubai real estate has a bright spot: Office demand is soaring
Image: Getty

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Article Summary
Dubai's commercial real estate market is booming, showing a 210% sales value increase compared to 2025, significantly outperforming the wider property market. This growth is driven by off-plan office sales, particularly in Business Bay, where projects are highly concentrated. The surge reflects strong business confidence and investor appetite, positioning commercial property as a key economic indicator.

Dubai’s property market is usually viewed through the lens of residential real estate. Apartments, villas, branded residences and waterfront launches dominate headlines because they account for most of the activity and are easier for the wider public to follow.

But in 2026, one of the clearest signs of market strength is coming from a less-discussed segment: commercial real estate.

According to analysis by The Real Estate Reports, commercial unit sales in Dubai reached Dhs16.07bn between January 1 and May 19, compared with Dhs5.17bn during the same period last year. That represents growth of more than 210 per cent. Over the same period, Dubai’s wider property market remained broadly stable, with total sales value edging up to Dhs235.84bn from Dhs234.12bn in the comparable period of 2025.

The contrast is significant because it shows commercial real estate is not simply rising in line with the broader market — it is outperforming it. Commercial units accounted for 6.81 per cent of total sales value this year, up from 2.21 per cent a year earlier. While the segment still represents a relatively small share of overall transaction volumes, its growing contribution by value is becoming harder to ignore.

Offices drive the surge

Offices have been the dominant force behind the market’s momentum. Office sales reached Dhs13.16bn year-to-date, accounting for nearly 82 per cent of all commercial unit sales. Shops followed with Dhs2.88bn, while showrooms and workshops made up only a small portion of the market.

The growth story is not only about transaction volumes, but also about the size of deals. The average commercial unit transaction rose from Dhs2.87m last year to Dhs5.9m in 2026. Office transactions specifically averaged Dhs6.41m, more than double the Dhs3m recorded during the same period in 2025.

That shift suggests investors and companies are increasingly viewing office space as a long-term strategic asset rather than a secondary property play.

Pricing trends reinforce the same picture. Off-plan office prices climbed to a weighted average of Dhs4,349 per square foot this year, compared with Dhs2,388 per square foot in the same period last year. Ready offices also saw price growth, rising to Dhs2,266 per square foot from Dhs1,964.

Off-plan market takes control

One of the biggest changes this year has been the shift from ready commercial assets to off-plan developments.

In the same period of 2025, ready commercial units accounted for almost 69 per cent of commercial sales value, with off-plan representing just over 31 per cent. In 2026, the relationship has reversed dramatically. Off-plan commercial sales surged to Dhs13.06bn, accounting for more than 81 per cent of total commercial sales value, while ready commercial sales stood at Dhs3.01bn.

The shift points to growing confidence in Dubai’s future business demand and office pipeline, particularly as investors continue backing large-scale new developments.

The ready market remains active, but increasingly selective. In Business Bay, ready office sales declined from Dhs1.31bn to Dhs880m, even as average prices rose from Dhs2,163 per square foot to Dhs2,517. In Jumeirah Lakes Towers, ready office sales were broadly stable, while pricing climbed from Dhs1,662 per square foot to Dhs2,050.

Business Bay dominates

No district has played a larger role in Dubai’s commercial property story this year than Business Bay.

Commercial unit sales in the area reached Dhs6.81bn, accounting for more than 42 per cent of Dubai’s total commercial unit sales value. Offices made up nearly all of that activity, with sales climbing almost 280 per cent year-on-year to Dhs6.62bn.

Much of the momentum has been driven by off-plan office launches. Business Bay recorded Dhs5.74bn in off-plan office sales, compared with Dhs880m in ready office transactions. Projects such as Lumena by Omniyat and Lumena Alta by Omniyat generated Dhs4.58bn in combined sales, placing them at the centre of Dubai’s commercial real estate narrative in 2026.

Other districts also contributed to the market’s performance, including Trade Centre Second, TECOM Site A, Madinat Dubai Almelaheyah and Jumeirah Lakes Towers. However, none matched the scale or concentration of activity seen in Business Bay.

Strong growth, but highly concentrated

Despite the headline growth, the market is not rising evenly across all districts and asset classes.

The top five commercial projects accounted for 51.8 per cent of all commercial unit sales value this year, while the top 10 projects represented 62.8 per cent.

That concentration highlights an important nuance. Dubai’s commercial property market is booming, but the strongest growth remains tied to a focused wave of premium, off-plan office launches, particularly in Business Bay.

Even so, the broader market is still expanding. Excluding the top five projects, commercial unit sales still reached Dhs7.74bn — comfortably above the Dhs5.17bn recorded for the entire commercial market during the same period last year.

Commercial property emerges as a key market signal

The comparison with residential flats further underlines the strength of commercial real estate. Flat sales increased by around 4.2 per cent year-on-year to Dhs106.15bn, while commercial unit sales surged by more than 210 per cent. Transactions rose 51.4 per cent, and average deal sizes more than doubled.

Residential property remains the dominant engine of Dubai’s market, but commercial real estate is becoming an increasingly important indicator of business confidence, investor appetite and future economic demand.

For now, the message is clear: commercial real estate is no longer a side note in Dubai’s property market. It is emerging as one of the strongest signals of how the city’s business growth is translating into real estate investment activity.

Apartments vs villas in Dubai: Which rents are softening in 2026?

Industry experts say the shift is not a sign of market weakness, but rather a transition toward a more balanced and sustainable phase after years of rapid growth

Nida Sohail
Nida Sohail

21 May, 2026

Apartments vs villas in Dubai: Which rents are softening in 2026?

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Dubai's 2026 rental market is recalibrating, with apartments showing rent adjustments whilst villas maintain strong demand. Data suggests a divergence between property segments, not overall weakness. Apartments are softening after a strong Q1, while villa rents continue to rise. Experts see this as a move towards a more balanced and sustainable market, despite geopolitical uncertainties.

Dubai’s rental market is entering a new phase of recalibration in 2026, with apartments beginning to show signs of cooling while villas continue to hold firm on pricing and demand.

Fresh market data from Property Finder, Bayut and Savills Middle East suggests that while the emirate’s broader real estate sector remains resilient, apartments are seeing sharper short-term rent adjustments compared to villas, highlighting a widening divergence between the two property segments.

Industry experts say the shift is not a sign of market weakness, but rather a transition toward a more balanced and sustainable phase after years of rapid growth.

Apartment rents cool after strong Q1

According to Property Finder data, apartment rents averaged Dhs90,940 in April 2026, marking a 4.6 per cent adjustment from the Q1 2026 average of Dhs95,293.

Despite the decline, apartment rents remain 4.4 per cent higher year-on-year compared to April 2025, underlining that the market is still on an upward trajectory overall.

Read more-Dubai property values are falling, with rents under pressure

Villas, however, have moved in the opposite direction. Average villa rents climbed 3.3 per cent over the same quarterly period to Dhs229,000 and were up 9.1 per cent year-on-year.

“The pattern suggests a market that is not moving uniformly, but recalibrating at different speeds across segments, with apartments normalising after a stronger Q1 and villas maintaining a steadier upward trajectory,” Cherif Sleiman, chief revenue officer at Property Finder, said.

The numbers indicate that villas are continuing to outperform apartments across nearly every timeframe, with experts pointing to stronger pricing momentum and more resilient demand in the villa market.

Villas widen their lead despite higher prices

Interestingly, the growing appetite for villas is not being fuelled by cheaper rents.

In fact, the gap between apartment and villa rents has widened further in 2026. Property Finder data shows the villa-to-apartment rent ratio increased from 2.41 times in April 2025 to 2.52 times in April 2026, making villas objectively more expensive relative to apartments.

Yet tenant demand for villas has continued to rise. The villa share of demand increased from 25 per cent to 29 per cent year-on-year, while apartments saw their share ease from 75 per cent to 71 per cent.

“The shift in demand toward villas is evident, but it is not being driven by a narrowing price gap,” Sleiman said.

“This movement signals a strategic redistribution of demand; the market is becoming less sensitive to short-term price shifts and more responsive to specific lifestyle needs.”

The trend reflects a broader evolution in tenant priorities across Dubai, with larger living spaces, privacy and community-focused developments continuing to attract families and long-term residents despite higher rental costs.

Apartments lead the adjustment cycle

Market analysts say apartments are responding more quickly to changes in supply and demand dynamics because of their higher transaction volumes and faster turnover.

Bayut Property Experts said apartment-heavy communities recorded average declines of around 3.9 per cent to 4 per cent between January and late April 2026, compared to a more moderate 2.9 per cent to 3 per cent decline in villa communities.

“Apartment-heavy communities recorded an average decline of around -3.9 per cent to -4 per cent, compared to a more moderate -2.9 per cent to -3 percent change in villa communities,” Bayut Property Experts conveyed.

“This reflects the underlying structure of each asset class. Apartments typically respond more quickly to changes in supply and demand due to higher transaction volumes, greater listing density, and faster turnover.”

Villas, meanwhile, continue to benefit from tighter supply and longer occupancy cycles, helping support more stable pricing behaviour.

Experts stressed, however, that the market is not witnessing a major split between the two sectors.

“Both segments remain active and are adjusting within the same broader cycle of normalisation, with villas simply showing a lagged and more gradual response,” Bayut Property Experts conveyed.

Independent market tracks emerge

The latest figures also suggest that apartments and villas are increasingly behaving as independent segments rather than moving in tandem.

“In April 2026, apartment rents eased by nearly 5% while villa rents simultaneously climbed by over 3 per cent. This signals that the segments serve different demand pools that don’t always react to the same pressures,” Sleiman said.

Property Finder’s 16-month analysis showed no mechanical relationship between the two categories, with apartments and villas often moving in opposite directions depending on market conditions.

“While the general buoyancy of the UAE economy keeps the long-term trend for both segments upward, the villa market is currently decoupled from the pricing shifts affecting apartments,” Sleiman added.

The divergence highlights how Dubai’s property market has become increasingly segmented, with lifestyle preferences, supply pipelines and tenant demographics playing a larger role in shaping rental movements.

Market stabilisation underway

According to Bayut Property Experts, Dubai’s rental market has moved through several phases of stabilisation and recalibration since the start of 2026.

At the beginning of the year, activity levels remained strong. However, following regional geopolitical tensions at the end of February, the market briefly adjusted its pace before stabilising again in March.

“April then marked a clearer recalibration phase, with overall levels sitting around 3.3% below the January baseline,” Bayut Property Experts conveyed.

The company noted that the recent month-on-month adjustments are consistent with ongoing supply absorption and evolving pricing expectations as the market gradually normalises.

Importantly, analysts do not see the current slowdown turning into a sharp correction.

“The market continues to demonstrate depth and consistency, with changes unfolding gradually rather than sharply as it settles into a more stable post-disruption environment,” Bayut Property Experts conveyed.

What happens next?

Industry leaders expect rents to soften modestly in the short term as the wider real estate market adjusts to changing sentiment and global uncertainty.

“In the short term, it is likely that rents will soften alongside the wider real estate market, driven by sentiment and reduced immediate demand due to geopolitical uncertainty,” Alec Smith, head of Sales and Leasing, Residential Agency at Savills Middle East, said.

However, Smith noted that Dubai’s rental sector is likely to remain more resilient than the sales market, as residents delaying home purchases will continue to rent.

He also pointed to an increase in available rental stock, as some property owners unable to secure desired sale prices shift toward leasing instead.

A healthier market ahead?

Experts believe the current correction could ultimately improve affordability and long-term sustainability across Dubai’s housing market.

“Yes, this type of correction can be healthy for the market in the long term,” Smith said.

“A market correction often leads to more disciplined pricing, reduced speculative buying, and a greater focus on fundamentals such as location, quality, and long-term value.”

As Dubai’s property market matures, analysts say the current recalibration may help create a more balanced environment where sustainable growth outweighs speculative surges.

For now, the numbers clearly show one trend emerging: apartments are leading the rental slowdown, while villas continue to chart a stronger and steadier path.

Anthropic nears rare AI profit milestone as Claude boom fuels revenue surge

The AI startup behind Claude is reportedly on track for its first quarterly operating profit, highlighting how soaring enterprise demand for coding-focused AI tools is beginning to offset the sector’s massive infrastructure costs

Reuters
Reuters

21 May, 2026

Anthropic nears rare AI profit milestone as Claude boom fuels revenue surge

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Anthropic is nearing its first quarterly operating profit, driven by soaring sales of its Claude AI, expected to reach $10.9bn in the June quarter. This contrasts with the wider AI sector's struggles with high costs. SpaceX, meanwhile, revealed Anthropic's hefty $1.25bn monthly payments for compute capacity, highlighting the significant expenses associated with AI development.

Anthropic is closing in on its first quarterly operating profit, a person familiar with the matter said, as its sales eclipse the enormous costs to develop and deploy artificial intelligence.

In recent fundraising materials, the San Francisco-based startup apprised investors that its June quarter sales could reach at least $10.9bn, more than double its $4.8bn in revenue for the just-ended March quarter, the person said.

That will propel its second-quarter operating profit to an expected $559m.

The Wall Street Journal reported the figures earlier on Wednesday.

Anthropic‘s financials underscore how demand for the lab’s Claude AI has jumped, as software developers use the technology to handle their computer programming and some enterprises deploy its top-shelf model Mythos to unearth vulnerabilities in their code.

The profit is rare for an AI industry that is grappling with the technology’s high costs.

One such expense, in the form of AI’s voracious demand for computing power, was also disclosed on Wednesday in the IPO filing of SpaceX, Elon Musk’s rival space and AI company.

SpaceX said Anthropic had agreed to pay it $1.25bn per month through May 2029, in deals for compute capacity that now include both of SpaceX’s AI training data center clusters, Colossus and Colossus II.

Either Anthropic or SpaceX can terminate the agreements with 90 days’ notice, and fees would be reduced during the capacity ramp-up this month and next, the filing said.

Musk posted on X that SpaceX was in discussions with other companies about “offering AI compute as a service at significant scale,” which would be a boost as its AI segment remains in the red.

SpaceX’s AI segment lost about $2.5bn from operations in the March quarter, on segment revenue of $818m, its IPO filing showed.

SpaceX unveils blockbuster IPO as Musk bets future on AI and Mars

Elon Musk’s SpaceX has unveiled plans for a potentially record-breaking IPO, exposing steep AI-related losses, tight founder control and ambitious bets on Mars missions

Reuters
Reuters

21 May, 2026

SpaceX unveils blockbuster IPO as Musk bets future on AI and Mars

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SpaceX's IPO filing reveals significant AI investment losses, driven by the xAI acquisition. While Starlink is profitable, overall the company posted an operating loss in Q1. SpaceX's future relies on unproven technologies like space-based AI data centres. Despite risks, Musk's track record may justify investment, though he retains considerable control. The IPO could value SpaceX at $1.75 trillion.

SpaceX took the wraps off its IPO filing on Wednesday, laying bare for investors just how much Elon Musk is losing on artificial intelligence while betting the company’s future on transforming the rocket maker into an AI powerhouse.

Much of its outlook relies on SpaceX dominating technologies and markets that do not yet exist – from Mars missions to AI data centers in space.

For many, Musk’s record turning Tesla into the most valuable auto company in the world and developing the world’s first fully reusable rocket and largest satellite network is enough to justify investment.

The filing cements Musk’s tight control of SpaceX while giving shareholders little say over his decisions. It shows just how central AI has become following the February purchase of xAI, which drove most of the company’s spending and a majority of its losses in the first quarter.

The listing could become the first US market debut above $1 trillion and would immediately make SpaceX one of the world’s most valuable publicly traded companies.

Of SpaceX‘s three divisions, only the connectivity segment powered by satellite internet unit Starlink was profitable in the first three months of the year.

While Starlink generated an operating profit of $1.19bn, it wasn’t enough to prevent the company from booking a total operating loss of $1.94bn in the first quarter on $4.69bn in revenue. Its AI division, alone, accounted for $2.47bn in losses on $818m in revenue.

Musk’s purchase of his social media and AI company xAI gave SpaceX new capabilities and opportunities but a staggering amount of spending, accounting for 76 per cent of its $10.1bn in capital spending in the first quarter, as well as fresh losses.

The company’s plans rely on technology that’s not yet been built for much of its future revenue stream, including operating data centers powered by solar power in space, to reach a potential market of $28.5tn, according to the filing.

SpaceX has grown into the world’s largest space business since its founding in 2002 by launching thousands of Starlink internet satellites. Its pioneering use of reusable rockets has transformed the economics of space, forcing competitors like Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin to play catch-up.

A successful share sale could value the company at a record-setting $1.75tn, which would put its founder on track to become the first trillionaire in history. Musk will also retain 85.1 per cent of the combined voting power of the company, the filing showed.

Meta lays off 8,000 employees in AI overhaul as Zuckerberg rules out more broad cuts

The Facebook parent is restructuring around AI workflows, cutting roughly 10 per cent of its workforce and reassigning thousands more employees

Reuters
Reuters

21 May, 2026

Meta lays off 8,000 employees in AI overhaul as Zuckerberg rules out more broad cuts

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Mark Zuckerberg informed Meta employees that, despite a major restructuring involving a 10% workforce reduction and 7,000 employee transfers to AI initiatives, no further company-wide layoffs are expected this year. This overhaul aims to centre AI within Meta's products and internal operations, impacting approximately 20% of the organisation.

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg told employees in an internal memo on Wednesday that he does not expect more company-wide layoffs this year, according to a copy of the memo seen by Reuters.

He made the announcement on the same day the Facebook owner carried out a massive restructuring of the company, laying off 10 per cent of its workforce globally (approximately 8,000 employees) and transferring 7,000 other employees to new initiatives related to AI workflows.

“I want to be clear that we do not expect other company-wide layoffs this year. I also want to acknowledge that we haven’t been as clear as we aspire to be in our communication, and that’s one area I want to make sure we improve,” he said in the memo.

Employees left comments on his post quoting the words “company-wide” and “expect.”

“Things sometimes go ‘unexpectedly,'” one person wrote.

A Meta spokesperson declined to comment on the update.

The changes are part of a far-reaching overhaul taking place at Meta this year, as the company surges its AI investments in a bid to center AI agents in both its product offerings and its approach to work internally.

In total, the layoffs and transfers announced this week are hitting about 20 per cent of the company’s workforce. Some of the transfers have already happened, while in other cases employees are being notified on Wednesday.

UFC Fight Night Abu Dhabi to return to Yas Island in July 2026

The upcoming event continues the long-running partnership between UFC and Abu Dhabi, which began in 2010

Rajiv Pillai
Rajiv Pillai

21 May, 2026

UFC Fight Night Abu Dhabi to return to Yas Island in July 2026
Image: Supplied

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UFC Fight Night Abu Dhabi returns to Etihad Arena, Yas Island, on July 25th, 2026. Tickets will be available soon through Visit Abu Dhabi. This event continues the long-standing partnership between UFC and Abu Dhabi, a prominent global destination for UFC events.

Ultimate Fighting Championship and Department of Culture and Tourism – Abu Dhabi have announced the return of UFC Fight Night Abu Dhabi, set to take place on Saturday, July 25, 2026, at Etihad Arena on Yas Island.

Tickets for UFC Fight Night Abu Dhabi are expected to go on sale soon, with fans encouraged to register interest through Visit Abu Dhabi to access ticket sales and exclusive hotel-and-ticket packages for international visitors.

The full fight card will be announced in the coming weeks. Abu Dhabi has become one of UFC’s most prominent global destinations, regularly hosting major fight events and attracting international audiences to the emirate.

The upcoming event continues the long-running partnership between UFC and Abu Dhabi, which began in 2010. During the COVID-19 pandemic, Abu Dhabi gained global attention after hosting the UFC Fight Island series, reinforcing the emirate’s role as a key international hub for combat sports and live entertainment.

In 2025, UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder drew a packed crowd to Etihad Arena with a high-profile middleweight bout, while UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane headlined Abu Dhabi Showdown Week with a heavyweight clash.

Through its collaboration with DCT Abu Dhabi, UFC continues to expand its global network of government and private-sector partnerships, bringing large-scale sporting events to international markets while contributing to tourism, economic activity and fan engagement.

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