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Airline shares battered as oil prices spike, Iran tensions intensify

Since Feb 28, when the US-Israeli tensions with Iran started, through March 8, more than 37,000 flights to and from the Middle East were cancelled

Reuters
Reuters

09 March, 2026

Airline shares battered as oil prices spike, Iran tensions intensify
Image credit: Getty Images

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Asian airline stocks plummeted due to surging oil prices and US-Israeli tensions with Iran, exacerbating existing challenges like tight airspace and supply chain issues. Thousands of flights were cancelled, and fuel costs, a major expense, soared. Rerouting flights and adding fuel stops further strains operations. Some airlines hedge fuel costs, but this strategy carries risks.

Surging oil prices and the escalating US-Israeli tensions with Iran hammered airline stocks in Asia on Monday, piling pressure on carriers already navigating tight airspace as travellers scramble to evade the Middle East conflict.

The tension has driven up fuel prices, with oil jumping 20 per cent in early trading on Monday, hitting its highest since July 2022, amid fears of tighter supply and prolonged disruptions to shipments.

Stranded passengers have been paying huge sums of money to escape the Middle East, with last-minute dashes to the airport, overland trips to less impacted hubs and fighter jets at times escorting passenger planes out.

Read more-US DFC unveils $20bn maritime reinsurance plan to support Gulf shipping

Since February 28, when the US-Israeli tensions with Iran started, through March 8, more than 37,000 flights to and from the Middle East were cancelled, according to data from Cirium.

Brendan Sobie, a Singapore-based independent aviation analyst, said the operating environment for airlines had been difficult even before the Middle Eastern crisis and the oil price spike due to political and economic uncertainty and supply chain issues.

“Now that already high level of uncertainty has increased even further,” he said.Shares in Australia’s Qantas Airways, Air New Zealand, Hong Kong’s Cathay Pacific, Japan Airlines, Korean Air Lines and major Chinese airlines China Southern and China Eastern all fell between 4 per cent and more than 10 per cent on Monday.

Shares of Indian carriers IndiGo and SpiceJet dropped 7.5 per cent and 5.6 per cent, respectively.

Fuel is the second-largest expense for air carriers after labour, typically accounting for a fifth to a quarter of operating expenses. Some major Asian and European airlines have oil hedging in place, but US airlines largely stopped the practice over the last two decades.

“If crude is rising 20 per cent, jet fuel is rising several times more as it is even more scarce, adding significant cost to operations together with crew resources which are stretched due to longer flying times when airspace is closed,” said Subhas Menon, head of the Association of Asia Pacific Airlines.

Hedging can protect airlines from spikes in fuel costs through the use of derivative contracts. But it can also backfire when prices fall, exposing carriers to above-market rates in swaps – a certain type of hedge contract that has burned some carriers in the past.

Travel disruptions persist as tensions escalates

With airspace severely constrained, airlines have been forced to reroute flights, carry extra fuel or make additional refuelling stops to guard against sudden diversions or longer flight paths through safer corridors.

Combined, Emirates, Qatar Airways and Etihad normally fly about one-third of passengers from Europe to Asia and more than half of all passengers from Europe to Australia, New Zealand and nearby Pacific Islands, according to Cirium data.

Flights to Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Jordan by Turkish Airlines, AJet, Pegasus and SunExpress have been cancelled until March 13, Turkish Transport Minister Abdulkadir Uraloglu said on Sunday.

Air India has added dozens of flights to destinations in Europe and North America through March 18 as the closure of Middle Eastern airspace lifts demand for non-stop services.

ADNOC says operations continue despite Hormuz blockade

ADNOC has activated well-established protocols and is working closely with authorities to protect its people, assets and operations

Reuters
Reuters

09 March, 2026

ADNOC says operations continue despite Hormuz blockade
Image: ADNOC

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Due to the US-Israeli war on Iran blocking the Strait of Hormuz, ADNOC is managing offshore output to address storage limits. They are using alternative export routes and international storage to maintain supply. Saudi Aramco is diverting shipments via the Red Sea. Kuwait has begun cutting output. The conflict disrupts global oil and LNG supply significantly.

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company said on Saturday it is actively managing offshore output levels to address storage requirements amid the US-Israeli war on Iran, while its onshore operations are continuing.

“This approach preserves operational flexibility and will enable the company to resume normal operations without prolonged delay,” ADNOC said in a statement.

The war, now in its eighth day, has blocked shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, the crucial waterway responsible for roughly 20 per cent of global oil and LNG supply.

Analysts have predicted the UAE and Saudi Arabia would soon have to cut output as their oil storage fills up.

ADNOC said its operations are continuing, and that it is using export capacity that bypasses the strait as well as international storage facilities to ensure supply continuity to global markets.

Saudi state oil giant Aramco is temporarily diverting some crude shipments to the Red Sea port of Yanbu to ensure supply continuity for customers unable to access the Gulf, Saudi state media said on Saturday. Reuters reported on Friday that its shipments from the Red Sea are increasing but the volumes are far from enough to offset the drop from the crisis-hit strait.

“Business units are assessing the situation on a product-by-product and transaction-by-transaction basis, considering the ongoing disruption that is affecting shipping through the Strait of Hormuz,” it said.

ADNOC has activated well-established protocols and is working closely with authorities to protect its people, assets and operations, it added.

Kuwait Petroleum Corporation began cutting oil output on Saturday and declared force majeure, adding to earlier oil and gas reductions from Iraq and Qatar.

US DFC unveils $20bn maritime reinsurance plan to support Gulf shipping

DFC chief executive Ben Black said the initiative was intended to help restore confidence in maritime trade and ensure the continued flow of key commodities through the Strait of Hormuz

Neesha Salian
Neesha Salian

09 March, 2026

US DFC unveils $20bn maritime reinsurance plan to support Gulf shipping
Image: Getty Images/ For illustrative purposes

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The DFC plans a $20 billion maritime reinsurance program to boost shipping confidence in the Gulf, amidst Iran tensions. Approved by President Trump, it provides war risk coverage for vessels meeting specific criteria, coordinated with CENTCOM. The program aims to stabilize maritime trade and ensure the flow of essential commodities through the Strait of Hormuz.

The US International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) said it plans to deploy a maritime reinsurance programme covering up to $20bn in potential losses to help restore confidence in shipping in the Gulf region amid ongoing tensions involving Iran.

The plan, approved by US President Donald Trump, and announced jointly with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, aims to support maritime trade and stabilise international commerce by providing war risk reinsurance for vessels operating in the region.

DFC said the facility would insure losses on a rolling basis of up to about $20bn and will initially focus on coverage for hull and machinery as well as cargo.

The programme will apply only to vessels that meet specified criteria and will be implemented in coordination with the United States Central Command (CENTCOM), which oversees US military operations in the Middle East.

According to DFC, the agency has identified American insurance partners to support the programme and is working with the US Department of the Treasury on next steps for implementation.

Move to restore confidence in maritime trade through Strait of Hormuz

DFC chief executive Ben Black said the initiative was intended to help restore confidence in maritime trade and ensure the continued flow of key commodities through the Strait of Hormuz.

He said the reinsurance plan was designed to help move shipments, including oil, gasoline, liquefied natural gas, jet fuel and fertiliser through the waterway, one of the world’s most important energy transit routes.

The agency said the programme forms part of a broader effort by Washington to use DFC’s financial tools to support global trade flows and businesses operating in the Middle East during the current regional tensions.

Read: Oil spikes as Hormuz disruption rattles global markets

Cooking gas prices rise in India on global surge

Indian companies have also raised the prices of 19-kg commercial LPG cylinders, mainly used by hotels and restaurants

Reuters
Reuters

09 March, 2026

Cooking gas prices rise in India on global surge
Image: Getty Images

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Indian companies increased LPG prices for the first time in a year due to rising global prices linked to Middle East tensions. A 14.2-kg cylinder in Delhi now costs 913 rupees, a 7% increase. India, a major LPG importer, relies heavily on Middle Eastern supplies. The government is urging refiners to boost domestic LPG production to prevent shortages. Commercial cylinder...

Indian companies have raised the prices of liquefied petroleum gas, mostly used as a cooking fuel, for the first time in about a year, as global prices surge with the US-Israel war on Iran disrupting supplies from the Middle East.

Indian Oil Corp, the country’s top refiner and LPG seller, has increased the prices of a 14.2-kg LPG cylinder in Delhi by 7 per cent to 913 rupees ($9.93), according to its website.

State refiners IOC, Bharat Petroleum Corp and Hindustan Petroleum Corp raised prices in tandem.

India, the world’s second-biggest importer of LPG, last year consumed 33.15 million metric tons of cooking gas, a mixture of propane and butane, with imports accounting for about two-thirds of LPG consumption. Middle Eastern LPG accounts for 85% to 90 per cent of those imports.

India on Friday asked refiners to boost LPG production to avoid any shortage of cooking gas in the country.

Indian companies have also raised the prices of 19-kg commercial LPG cylinders, mainly used by hotels and restaurants, to 1,883 rupees from 1,768.50 rupees.

A temporary pause: How Dubai’s property market is navigating recent tensions

The current data reflects a “risk-off” environment where buyers are exercising caution, writes the founder of The Real Estate Report, Ali Shahin

Ali Shahin
Ali Shahin

09 March, 2026

A temporary pause: How Dubai’s property market is navigating recent tensions

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Following the conflict's start, Dubai's real estate market experienced an immediate slowdown, with weekly transaction values nearly halving. Off-plan properties maintained dominance, indicating continued long-term investor interest. Luxury sales showed resilience, and mortgages remained significant. While the market paused, driven by caution, underlying interest in Dubai real estate remains strong, suggesting a temporary "risk-off" adjustment rather than a market collapse.

The start of the conflict on February 28 has clearly left its mark on Dubai’s real estate market.

After entering the year on very strong footing, the market saw an immediate slowdown in activity.

However, looking closely at the Dubai Land Department records tracked by The Real Estate Reports, the story isn’t just about falling volumes, it’s about a market that is pausing rather than breaking.

The immediate impact: A sharp drop in liquidity

The most visible change happened in the first full week after February 28. If we look at the headline totals, which include land deals, the numbers show a significant cooling effect.

In Week 9 (Feb 23–Mar 1), the market saw Dhs20.72bn across 5,473 transactions. By Week 10 (Mar 02–08), those figures dropped to Dhs10.37bn across 3,038 transactions. That is a 49.9 per cent decline in value and 44.5 per cent fewer deals week-on-week.

To get an even clearer picture, we can look at just the weekdays (Monday to Friday) to avoid the typical weekend data lulls. The five weekdays before the conflict saw Dhs20.41bn in activity, while the five weekdays after saw Dhs10.16bn. Essentially, the market’s “run-rate” cut in half almost immediately.

A stable structure: off-plan still leads

One of the most interesting findings in the recent data is that the “shape” of the market didn’t flip. Even with the geopolitical tension, off-plan properties continued to dominate.

In Week 9, off-plan made up 62.4 per cent of built-property value. In Week 10, that share actually grew slightly to 66.2 per cent. This suggests that investors haven’t abandoned long-term plays. Off-plan flats remain the core driver, making up about 78 per cent of all off-plan value in Week 10. The ready market followed a similar pattern, remaining largely apartment-led.

High-end resilience and mortgages

While overall sales cooled, the luxury end of the market proved it still has a pulse. On March 4, a single apartment at Aman Residences (Jumeirah Second) transacted for Dhs422m. Deals like this serve as a reminder that high-ticket liquidity hasn’t disappeared; the top end of the market tends to operate on its own logic, even during periods of caution.

Mortgage registrations also eased but stayed meaningful, representing about 19 per cent of the total market value in Week 10. These registrations remain heavily concentrated in the ready-property segment, where financing is most common.

The bottom line: A “risk-off” pause

It is important to keep the broader context in mind. Dubai entered this period in a position of extreme strength. Total market value in 2025 reached Dhs841.7bn (up from Dhs665.4bn in 2024), and January 2026 was nearly double the previous year.

The current data reflects a “risk-off” environment where buyers are exercising caution.

Activity is still clustering in familiar hubs like Dubai Marina, Palm Jumeirah, Burj Khalifa, and Business Bay.

In short: the market has slowed down, but it isn’t broken. The structural preference for off-plan and the occasional massive luxury transaction suggest that while the “run-rate” is lower for now, the fundamental interest in Dubai real estate remains intact.

UAE weather outlook: Light rain, strong winds expected this week

The NCM said conditions today will be partly cloudy to cloudy at times, with a chance of rainfall over some western and coastal areas as well as offshore islands

Gulf Business
Gulf Business

09 March, 2026

UAE weather outlook: Light rain, strong winds expected this week
Image credit: Getty Images

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The UAE will experience mixed weather this week, with cloud cover and potential light rainfall in western, coastal, and eastern areas. Strong northwesterly winds, reaching up to 45 km/h, could cause blowing dust and rough seas in the Arabian Gulf, particularly on Thursday. Temperatures may fluctuate, with increased humidity and possible mist.

The UAE is set to experience a mixed weather pattern this week, with periods of cloud cover, light rainfall in several regions, and strong winds that could affect maritime and outdoor operations, according to the National Center of Meteorology (NCM).

The NCM said conditions today will be partly cloudy to cloudy at times, with a chance of rainfall over some western and coastal areas as well as offshore islands. Winds will be light to moderate, freshening at times, while sea conditions will remain slight to moderate in the Arabian Gulf and slight in the Oman Sea.

On Tuesday, March 10, cloud cover is expected to continue with possible rainfall over western, coastal and eastern areas of the country. Temperatures are forecast to decrease slightly, particularly in western regions. Winds will blow northwesterly to northeasterly at speeds of 10–25 km/h, reaching up to 35 km/h. The sea will remain slight to moderate in the Arabian Gulf and slight in the Oman Sea.

By Wednesday, March 11, partly cloudy to cloudy conditions will persist, with a probability of light rainfall over some western, northern and eastern areas. Temperatures are expected to rise again during the day. Humidity levels will increase overnight and into Thursday morning across coastal and internal areas, raising the possibility of mist formation. Winds will remain northwesterly to northeasterly at 10–25 km/h, reaching 35 km/h, while the Arabian Gulf may see rough conditions at times early in the morning.

Weather conditions are expected to intensify slightly on Thursday, March 12, with moderate to fresh northwesterly to northeasterly winds strengthening over the sea. Wind speeds could reach 45 km/h, potentially causing blowing dust and sand across exposed areas. The sea will be rough in the Arabian Gulf before easing to moderate by evening, while conditions in the Oman Sea will range from moderate to rough at times. Light rainfall remains possible over islands and some coastal areas, alongside a decrease in temperatures.

On Friday, March 13, skies will remain partly cloudy to cloudy, with a probability of light rainfall over islands and some coastal and eastern areas. Winds will shift northeasterly to southeasterly at speeds of 10–20 km/h, reaching 35 km/h, while sea conditions will gradually ease to moderate to slight in the Arabian Gulf and remain slight in the Oman Sea.

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