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Dubai real estate is entering a new era of strategic growth

Dubai offers something rare: stability in a volatile world

Wissam Breidy
Wissam Breidy

07 August, 2025

Dubai real estate is entering a new era of strategic growth
Wissam Breidy, CEO of HRE Development/Image: Supplied

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I was recently talking to friends in Beirut and had one of those conversations that stays with you. I was asked, “Why is everyone talking about Dubai? Is it just hype or is there something more?”

It’s a fair question.

Most people notice the headlines, the skyscrapers, the glamour. But they rarely see what lies beneath – the solid business fundamentals driving this momentum. As someone operating in the heart of this market every day, I’d like to offer some perspective for those on the outside looking in.

Dubai is not just expanding; it’s evolving with intent.

In 2025, that story continues to unfold with purpose and precision. Every neighbourhood reflects ambition, innovation, and resilience. This is not hype – it’s trust, earned during one of the world’s biggest stress tests.

After COVID, the UAE didn’t recover – it reset the rules of growth

While much of the world was locked in paralysis during the pandemic, the UAE acted – decisively rolling out mass testing, vaccinations, and policies to support business continuity. That wasn’t just effective crisis management, it was proof of savvy execution – and it transformed how the world sees this place.

The results speak for themselves. In just the first quarter of 2025, Dubai welcomed 89,695 new residents – an average of 1,000 people a day – bringing the population to 3.92 million by the end of March. This is the driving force behind one of the most alluring real estate markets on the planet.

Dubai offers something rare: stability in a volatile world

You can invest here without worrying about currency controls or political uncertainty. No income tax. No capital gains tax. That changes the investment math instantly. Rental yields average between 6 and 8 per cent net – and these returns are backed by real end-user demand. Families are settling here, not just passing through.

Residential capital values rose 5 per cent quarter-on-quarter and 25.9 per cent year-on-year in Q1 2025, according to the ValuStrat Price Index. Apartments posted a 21.4 per cent annual gain, and villas jumped 30.3 per cent – figures that signal confidence, not just movement.

Transaction volumes tell another story. Over Dhs70.8bn in real estate deals were recorded in the first half of 2025, with apartments accounting for nearly 78 per cent of sales. Average ticket sizes for both off-plan and ready homes reached Dhs2.7m, reflecting sustained investor appetite and a growing trend toward ownership.

From velocity to value: a market maturing by design

The market is shifting from velocity to value, focusing on long-term growth, smarter development cycles, and measured delivery. And crucially, this evolution is being guided with intent.

The government’s 2040 Urban Master Plan sets out a vision to double Dubai’s population and create a more inclusive, sustainable urban landscape. That strategy informs how infrastructure, mobility, and housing are planned.

Developers are responding. By the end of Q1, nearly 12,000 new units were handed over – representing 19 percent of the 61,580 homes expected for the year. Areas like JVC, Business Bay, and Dubai South are leading the charge.

Read: Invest in Dubai real estate from just Dhs500: Know how

Looking ahead, more than 170,000 units are currently under construction across the emirate, with completions expected through 2029. The mix – 70 per cent apartments and 30 per cent villas/townhouses – is aligned with demographic shifts and affordability needs.

And affordability itself is evolving. Apartment rents rose 10 percent in Q1, and villa rents 5.1 per cent. The appetite for ownership is growing, especially among first-time buyers and young professionals.

Developers are responding with more innovative, tech-integrated, and community-centric designs. Homes are becoming smarter, more flexible, and more human – not just priced to sell but built to live in.

Revealed: Dubai’s top 6 hotspots for first-time buyers

DAMAC Island, the most affordable among the six, reported an average price of Dhs823 per square foot and a robust rental yield of 7.38 per cent

Nida Sohail
Nida Sohail

07 August, 2025

Revealed: Dubai’s top 6 hotspots for first-time buyers
Image credit: DAMAC Islands/Website

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Dubai’s residential real estate market is undergoing a notable transformation in 2025, with shifting buyer preferences, robust rental yields, and strategic new developments shaping activity across the emirate. While apartments remain the most transacted asset class, emerging trends point to growing interest in suburban communities, larger properties, and value-oriented investment zones.

Backed by government support, improved infrastructure, and evolving buyer demographics, several key residential hubs have recorded strong momentum in the first quarter of the year.

Among Dubai’s top six residential communities—Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC), DAMAC Island, Downtown Dubai, Meydan City, Dubai Marina, and Dubai South—transaction volumes have been rising steadily. This growth is supported by competitive pricing, enhanced infrastructure, and attractive rental yields.

Read-Dubai real estate is telling a new story, and agents need to listen

DAMAC Island, the most affordable among the six, reported an average price of Dhs823 per square foot and a robust rental yield of 7.38 per cent. These figures are largely driven by off-plan pricing advantages and high-return opportunities for early investors.

Dubai South followed with average prices of Dhs1,035 per square foot and rental yields of 6.77 per cent, while JVC saw average rates of Dhs1,238 per square foot, offering a strong return of 7.39 per cent. JVC remains a favourite among first-time buyers and younger tenants due to its affordability and accessibility.

Dubai Marina, located in a more central zone, recorded average prices of Dhs1,757 per square foot, with yields close to 6.24 per cent. Downtown Dubai, with its premium location and iconic skyline, commanded the highest average rate at Dhs2,504 per square foot, delivering a solid 6 per cent return.

In contrast, Meydan City emerged as a value-driven alternative, with an average of Dhs 1,915 per square foot and yields of 7.14 per cent, supported by ongoing infrastructure improvements and larger apartment layouts.

Zone 6 leads in activity and launches

Zone 6, which encompasses several emerging micro-markets along the Al Khail corridor, recorded the highest transaction activity in Q1 2025. It accounted for 55 per cent of total residential transactions and 56 per cent of newly launched units.

This zone includes areas such as JVC, Dubailand, DAMAC Hills 2, The Valley, and DAMAC Lagoons, where land availability is more abundant compared to central locations like Business Bay and Downtown Dubai.

A Savills research report highlighted major project launches in Zone 6, including:

  • The Wilds by Aldar in Dubailand
  • Sobha Solis in Motor City
  • Samana Resorts in Dubai Production City
  • Ellison & Baltimore by Nshama in Town Square

These projects offer a mix of price points and product types, catering to a wide demographic of buyers and investors.

Shift toward suburban growth

The rise of suburban communities is being driven by evolving urban planning strategies. Limited land availability in central areas has prompted the development of expansive, master-planned suburban zones.

Major developers such as Emaar and Binghatti are leading this expansion, introducing projects that appeal to both local and international buyers.

Government authorities including the Dubai Land Department and the Roads and Transport Authority (RTA) are working in tandem to ensure long-term sustainability and livability across these new communities.

Apartments continued to dominate Dubai property transactions in Q1 2025, accounting for approximately 76 per cent of total residential sales. However, this represents a slight decline both quarterly and year-on-year.

The shift is largely attributed to increasing demand for larger homes, particularly among families and long-term residents looking for more space and lifestyle-centric environments. Investors, too, are recognising the value of townhouses and villas, especially in areas offering higher yields and family-friendly amenities.

Easier access for first-time buyers

Recent policy updates and financial initiatives have also contributed to this shift. First-time buyers now benefit from reduced down payment requirements and more accessible mortgage options, facilitated by strategic partnerships between developers and banks.

Mania Merrikhi, Chief Operating Officer and Managing Director of Chestertons MENA, noted:

“At Chestertons, we’ve seen Dubai evolve into a powerhouse for real estate investment. Initiatives like the D33 agenda are set to drive even greater economic and urban growth over the next decade. At the same time, attention is shifting towards other emirates, particularly Abu Dhabi, where high-profile developments and infrastructure projects are opening up exciting new opportunities for investors.”

Mohamed Mussa, Executive Director of Chestertons MENA, added:

“Government support continues to play a vital role in shaping the UAE’s real estate market. Buyer-friendly regulations are making it easier for first-time buyers to enter the market. These developments are attracting a new wave of international and family-oriented investors. Looking forward, we expect particularly strong demand for full-service, master-planned communities that deliver on lifestyle, convenience, and value.”

New residential projects on the horizon

Dubai saw the launch of approximately 95 new residential projects in Q1 2025, introducing nearly 28,600 new units to the pipeline. However, the pace of new launches slowed compared to previous quarters, contributing to a decrease in off-plan transaction volumes.

A report by Cavendish & Maxwell suggested that this slowdown may be strategic, with developers focusing on clearing existing inventory to improve absorption rates before adding further supply.

About 9,300 residential units were completed during the first quarter of 2025, with apartments comprising 79 per cent of the total. This marked the second-highest quarterly completion volume in the last two years, following Q4 2023.

Looking ahead, Dubai’s housing stock is set for significant expansion. Nearly 300,000 new residential units are projected to enter the market by 2028. A substantial portion of this supply is expected during 2026 and 2027, indicating a potential surge in completions.

For the remainder of 2025, roughly 73,000 units are slated for delivery.

However, these figures may shift due to evolving buyer preferences, market dynamics, and potential construction delays. Developers are expected to closely monitor the market to adjust release strategies accordingly.

Outlook: Value, lifestyle, and long-term potential

As Dubai’s residential property market continues to evolve, the spotlight is turning toward communities that balance affordability, lifestyle appeal, and long-term value. With supportive government policies, a steady influx of new projects, and investor-friendly conditions, Dubai remains a key market for regional and global real estate investors.

Chestertons MENA, backed by deep market insight and decades of experience, positions itself as a strategic advisor for buyers navigating the complexities of this dynamic landscape.

Emaar’s H1 2025 property sales rise 46% in H1: Here’s what drove growth

Emaar’s recurring revenue portfolio, comprising malls, hotels, leisure, entertainment, and commercial leasing, generated Dhs5.3bn ($1.4bn) in revenue during H1

Neesha Salian
Neesha Salian

07 August, 2025

Emaar’s H1 2025 property sales rise 46% in H1: Here’s what drove growth
Image: Emaar

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Emaar Properties reported a 46 per cent increase in property sales in H1 2025, reaching Dhs46bn ($12.5bn), marking its highest-ever half-year sales performance.

The results reflect continued demand across its master-planned communities and lifestyle offerings, as well as broad-based growth across its retail, hospitality, and international operations.

The company’s revenue backlog rose to Dhs146.3bn ($39.8bn) as of June 30, up 62 per cent year-on-year, providing strong visibility for future revenues.

Consolidated revenue rose to Dhs19.8bn ($5.4bn), a 38 per cent increase from H1 2024.

Emaar reported EBITDA of Dhs10.4bn ($2.8bn), up 30 per cent year-on-year, with EBITDA margins exceeding 52 per cent.

Net profit before tax also reached Dhs10.4bn ($2.8bn), growing by 34 per cent compared to the same period last year.

In Q2, Moody’s upgraded Emaar’s credit rating to Baa1 with a stable outlook. This follows S&P Global’s earlier upgrade to BBB+, also with a stable outlook.

Emaar‘s founder Mohamed Alabbar said: “Numbers alone don’t tell the full story. Behind every sale, every project, every community, there’s intent. There’s a team asking: how can we do better? How can we make someone’s everyday more meaningful? The first half of 2025 reflects that mindset.”

Development business sees strong momentum, retail and leasing portfolio posts growth

Emaar Development posted H1 2025 property sales of Dhs40.6bn ($11.1bn), up 37 per cent year-on-year, supported by 25 new project launches.

Revenue from UAE development operations rose 35 per cent to Dhs10bn ($2.7bn), while net profit before tax increased 50 per cent to Dhs5.5bn ($1.5bn).

Total consolidated UAE development revenue for Emaar reached Dhs13.5bn ($3.7bn), a 50 per cent increase. The backlog from UAE projects climbed to Dhs128.6bn ($35bn), up 50 per cent from H1 2024.

Revenue from Emaar’s shopping malls and leasing assets increased 14 per cent to Dhs3.2bn ($871m), with EBITDA rising 18 per cent to Dhs2.8bn ($762m).

Average occupancy across malls stood at 98 per cent as of June 30.

International and hospitality segments expand

International property sales more than tripled year-on-year to Dhs5.3bn ($1.4bn), with revenue up 26 per cent to Dhs1bn ($272m), mainly driven by activity in India and Egypt.

International operations accounted for roughly 5 per cent of total H1 2025 revenue.

The hospitality, leisure, and entertainment segment posted Dhs2.1bn ($572m) in revenue, supported by an 80 per cent average occupancy rate across UAE hotels, up from 78 per cent last year.

Two hotels with over 600 keys were added to the portfolio in H1 2025.

Recurring revenue base strengthens

Emaar’s recurring revenue portfolio, comprising malls, hotels, leisure, entertainment, and commercial leasing, generated Dhs5.3bn ($1.4bn) in revenue during H1, up 15 per cent year-on-year.

EBITDA from this portfolio rose 16 per cent to Dhs4.1bn ($1.1bn), accounting for 40 per cent of the group’s total EBITDA.

Emaar launched a Youth Council and new mentorship programmes, while continuing to sponsor professional certifications including the CFA, as part of its focus on Emirati talent development.

On the ESG front, the company reported continued progress on energy efficiency and responsible sourcing, building on its upgraded MSCI ESG rating.

New whitepaper outlines AI-driven coaching trends in GCC

According to research, 75 per cent of Dubai-based Fortune 500 subsidiaries are expected to adopt AI-powered leadership tools by 2030

Rajiv Pillai
Rajiv Pillai

07 August, 2025

New whitepaper outlines AI-driven coaching trends in GCC
SPARK Dubai 2025/Image: Supplied

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As Gulf governments and private sector employers accelerate workforce development, digital coaching is fast becoming a critical pillar of regional talent strategies. This shift was at the forefront of SPARK Dubai 2025, where WeAce unveiled its latest whitepaper, Powering Talent and Growth in the GCC.

The invite-only event, held at The St. Regis Downtown Dubai, brought together senior HR leaders, policymakers, and leadership experts to explore how leadership development is evolving in the face of technological disruption and changing expectations around inclusion, nationalisation, and continuous learning. Curated by WeAce in collaboration with SDA Bocconi School of Management, the evening also examined how coaching is moving from a niche, executive-only tool to a scalable, AI-enabled solution.

The WeAce whitepaper highlighted how platforms like its own are now delivering multilingual, culturally localised modules and real-time analytics to make leadership development more accessible and measurable. “The future of leadership is neuro-personalised, life-centric, and deeply human – even when guided by AI,” said Anuranjita Kumar, CEO & Co-founder of WeAce. “Coaching must move beyond performance management to support purpose, wellbeing, and long-term growth.”

Among the emerging trends identified in the whitepaper is the rapid expansion of AI-driven coaching in the UAE and beyond. According to the research, 75 per cent of Dubai-based Fortune 500 subsidiaries are expected to adopt AI-powered leadership tools by 2030. The UAE’s digital coaching market, valued at $44.6m in 2023, is projected to reach $189.3m by 2034, growing at an annual rate of 14.1 per cent.

Read: From budgets to layoffs: UAE businesses trust AI with big calls

Importantly, coaching is now being evaluated with more precision. Global benchmarks cited in the whitepaper show that coaching can generate a return on investment of up to 788 per cent, driven by improvements in employee retention and productivity. The research also indicates that by 2030, 60 per cent of UAE-based leadership programmes are likely to include ESG-related content, underscoring the broader role coaching plays in shaping socially responsible leadership.

Digital coaching is also playing a pivotal role in advancing nationalisation initiatives such as Emiratisation, enabling organisations to nurture agile, future-ready leaders in hybrid working environments. “In a region as dynamic as the Middle East, the intersection of talent, technology, and trust will define competitive advantage,” said Alessandro Giuliani, Managing Director at SDA Bocconi Asia Center. “Our role as leaders is to ensure that people – not just systems – remain at the heart of transformation.”

“The Middle East is not just adapting to change – it’s shaping it,” added Nader Haffar, former chairman and CEO of KPMG Lower Gulf. “Our future will be defined by how boldly we invest in talent, how wisely we deploy technology, and how deeply we build trust across business and society.”

WeAce, now active across Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, is among the companies leading this transformation. Its platform integrates behavioural coaching, structured mentoring, and AI-powered development tools in both English and Arabic, supported by a global network of experienced practitioners. With over 20 enterprise clients already onboarded in the region, WeAce is scaling up its presence to support the long-term transformation of the GCC’s workforce.

UAE’s SCA, VARA align on unified regulatory framework for virtual assets

The agreement defines a unified registration mechanism for VASPs across both jurisdictions and outlines operational coordination principles based on mutual collaboration and effective oversight

Neesha Salian
Neesha Salian

07 August, 2025

UAE’s SCA, VARA align on unified regulatory framework for virtual assets
Image: Getty Images/ For illustrative purposes

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The UAE’s Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA) and the Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) have signed a strategic partnership to align regulatory frameworks for virtual assets across the country, aiming to eliminate duplication and strengthen supervision.

The agreement sets out a unified mechanism for registering virtual asset service providers (VASPs), enabling mutual recognition of licenses and facilitating the exchange of information between the two regulators.

It also introduces joint oversight and operational coordination.

The move comes after months of coordination between the two bodies and reflects broader efforts by the UAE to build a streamlined, globally credible regulatory environment for digital assets.

New SCA committee to work with VARA

In a parallel development, the SCA’s board has approved the formation of a Coordinating Committee for Legislative Review, which will work with VARA to assess and develop legislation in line with international standards.

The partnership also includes joint technical consultations, shared risk assessments – particularly in anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing – and collaboration through joint task forces.

Both entities are aligning systems to enable real-time information sharing and institutional integration.

The two regulators say the goal is to enhance transparency, improve market integrity, and foster innovation within the virtual asset ecosystem.

They also aim to deepen international cooperation through active participation in global forums including the Financial Action Task Force (FATF).

“Our strategic partnership with VARA represents a global benchmark in effective governance and advanced oversight, further reinforcing the UAE’s status as a premier international hub for digital assets,” said Waleed Al Awadhi, CEO of the SCA. “We are committed to leading this regulatory transformation by achieving exceptional standards in transparency and security.”

VARA CEO Matthew White described the collaboration as a step towards “future-proofing” the UAE’s virtual asset economy.

“By unifying oversight and aligning supervisory frameworks with SCA, we are not only minimising regulatory duplication, but also laying the groundwork for a globally credible, secure, and innovation-first ecosystem,” White said.

The agreement positions the UAE to consolidate its role as a competitive hub for digital asset investment and regulation in the region and beyond.

Dubai RTA nol card top-ups: What’s behind the rise in transactions?

The authority emphasised that digital adoption will continue to be a key focus in enhancing Dubai’s public transport infrastructure

Nida Sohail
Nida Sohail

07 August, 2025

Dubai RTA nol card top-ups: What’s behind the rise in transactions?

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Dubai’s Roads and Transport Authority (RTA) reported a 20% rise in nol card top-up transactions via digital channels during the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. The increase reflects the RTA’s continued push toward digital transformation in public transport and efforts to enhance customer convenience.

Read-Dubai’s public transport surge: 395 million riders in first half of 2025

The RTA attributed the growth to several initiatives, including installing digital machines for ticket sales and top-ups, raising public awareness about using digital platforms such as its website and mobile apps, and increasing the minimum top-up amount for nol cards at machines and ticket offices, a WAM report said.

According to RTA statistics, there was a 28 per cent drop in top-up transactions made through ticket vending machines overall, even as digital usage through these machines rose by 20 per cent. At the same time, cash transactions at ticket sales offices fell by 37 per cent, and digital transactions declined by 6 per cent, resulting in an overall 26 per cent decrease in office-based transactions.

The RTA stated that this shift has helped reduce queues and cut operating costs associated with cash handling. Additionally, the move away from cash led to an 80 per cent decline in vending machine malfunctions.

The authority emphasised that digital adoption will continue to be a key focus in enhancing Dubai’s public transport infrastructure.

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