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Oil steady after smaller-than-expected OPEC+ output hike

OPEC+ has increased its oil output targets by more than 2.7 million bpd this year, equivalent to about 2.5 per cent of global demand

Reuters
Reuters

07 October, 2025

Oil steady after smaller-than-expected OPEC+ output hike
Image credit: Getty Images

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Oil prices were steady on Tuesday as investors assessed a smaller-than-expected November output hike by OPEC+ against the backdrop of oversupply expectations.

Brent crude futures fell 9 cents, or 0.14 per cent, to $65.38 a barrel by 1007 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude lost 10 cents, or 0.16 per cent, to $61.59.

Read more-Unexpected drop in Middle East oil premiums raises Saudi pricing dilemma

Both contracts settled up more than 1 per cent in the previous session after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and some smaller producers, known as OPEC+, decided to increase its collective oil production by 137,000 barrels per day, starting in November.

The move was in contrast to market expectations for a more aggressive reintroduction of supply, a sign that the group remains cautious about increasing its production share in the global oil market amid predictions of a supply surplus in the fourth quarter as well as next year, said ING analysts.

“Brent had fallen by around $5 per barrel last week in response to earlier expectations of a larger supply boost, so this mild rebound seems reasonable,” said Anh Pham, a senior analyst at LSEG.

“For now, the market still appears capable of accommodating the extra volume, and we have yet to see a shift into contango at the front of the curve.”

OPEC+ did not discuss increasing quotas after November, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Tuesday.

OPEC+ has increased its oil output targets by more than 2.7 million bpd this year, equivalent to about 2.5 per cent of global demand.

Geopolitical factors have kept a floor under prices, with tensions between Russia and Ukraine affecting energy assets and creating uncertainty over Russian crude supply.

Russia’s Kirishi oil refinery halted its most productive distillation unit following a drone attack and subsequent fire on October 4, with recovery likely to take about a month, two industry sources said on Monday.

DP World to invest $29m in Egypt cold storage facility

The facility will be equipped with a fully integrated Warehouse Management System offering real-time inventory visibility and seamless connectivity with client systems

Gulf Business
Gulf Business

07 October, 2025

DP World to invest $29m in Egypt cold storage facility
Image: WAM

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DP World has announced plans to develop a cold storage facility in Egypt with an investment of $29m (approximately EGP1.42bn).

The project follows the company’s acquisition of land within Elsewedy Industrial Development Park, located in Al Oula Industrial City, and comes amid growing demand for modern, energy-efficient storage solutions across the agri-export and frozen food manufacturing sectors.

Spanning 16,194 square metres, the new facility will include eight independently controlled chambers with capacity for 25,000 pallet positions across chilled and frozen categories such as fruits, vegetables, dairy products, and processed foods. It will feature an advanced refrigeration system to ensure optimal energy efficiency and precise climate control, in line with the highest international standards.

Mohammad Shihab, CEO of DP World Egypt and executive vice president of North Africa, said: “This facility represents a significant milestone in our journey to help strengthen Egypt’s logistics and trade ecosystem. By introducing world-class cold chain capabilities, we are enabling exporters and manufacturers to expand their reach, improve efficiency, and capture new opportunities. Together with our Sokhna Logistics Park, which is expected to be operational soon, we are creating an integrated network that will unlock growth and reinforce Egypt’s position as a vital hub for global trade.”

Read: DP World, PayPal to collaborate on cross-border digital trade payments

Owned and operated by DP World, the facility will be equipped with a fully integrated Warehouse Management System offering real-time inventory visibility and seamless connectivity with client systems.

Strategically located, the site provides direct access to Greater Cairo, key national highways, and major export corridors, making it ideally positioned to support both domestic distribution and international shipping. The development aims to strengthen Egypt’s cold chain capacity, improve food quality, reduce waste, and enhance the global competitiveness of local exporters and manufacturers.

The project builds on DP World’s expanding footprint in Egypt, including investments in the Port of Ain Sokhna, the upcoming Sokhna Logistics Park, and third-party contract logistics operations. Collectively, these initiatives reflect the company’s commitment to supporting Egypt’s logistics sector, bolstering the national economy, and advancing food supply chain resilience and industrial growth.

World Bank raises MENA growth outlook for 2025, warns on Iran slump

Iran’s economy was expected to contract 1.7 per cent this year and shrink 2.8 per cent next year

Reuters
Reuters

07 October, 2025

World Bank raises MENA growth outlook for 2025, warns on Iran slump

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The World Bank has lifted its growth outlook for the region encompassing the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan and Pakistan for 2025, though trimmed its forecast for next year, citing conflict and lower oil production in Iran and Libya.

The Washington-based lender said it now expected regional GDP growth across MENAAP economies to average 2.8 per cent this year, up from 2.6 per cent forecast in its April growth outlook. This was driven by Gulf states seeing a boost in economic activity following a faster than anticipated phasing out of oil productions cuts and growth from the non-oil sector.

“The outlook has also improved in oil importing countries, driven by private consumption and investment, and a rebound in agriculture and tourism,” the World Bank wrote in its report released on Tuesday.

However, developing oil exporters are expected to suffer a significant slowdown in the wake of conflict disruptions and downward adjustments in oil production, the lender said.

Iran’s economy was expected to contract 1.7 per cent this year and shrink 2.8 per cent next year, a sharp reversal from the 0.7 per cent expansion the bank had predicted for 2026 in April.

This was “reflecting a contraction in both oil exports and non-oil activity amid tighter sanctions, including the reimposition of UN sanctions, and disruption following the conflict in June,” the bank said.

In September, the United Nations reinstated an arms embargo and other sanctions on Iran over its nuclear programme following a process triggered by European powers that Tehran has warned will be met with a harsh response. The latest curbs came just months after Israel and the US bombed Iranian nuclear sites.

But the region as a whole was scarred by the fallout of conflicts in Syria, Yemen, Lebanon, the West Bank and Gaza as well as Afghanistan, which have driven humanitarian crises, mass displacement, and sharp economic contractions.

“Neighbouring countries also suffer negative spillover effects from conflict, including economic disruptions, refugee flows, and heightened insecurity,” the report said.

UAE’s sugary drink tax: New excise amendments proposed from 2026

The proposed amendments aim to create a robust legal and regulatory infrastructure to ensure smooth nationwide implementation

Nida Sohail
Nida Sohail

07 October, 2025

UAE’s sugary drink tax: New excise amendments proposed from 2026
Image credit: Getty Images

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The UAE Ministry of Finance (MoF) has completed a set of proposed legislative amendments to embed its updated excise tax policy on sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) into national law. The reforms align with the Gulf Cooperation Council’s (GCC) adoption of a tiered volumetric model, aimed at creating a unified and health-focused taxation system across member states.

The revised policy is scheduled to come into effect on January 1, 2026, according to a report by the Emirates News Agency (WAM).

Read more-UAE’s new tax on sugary drinks: What it means for you, businesses

The proposed amendments aim to create a robust legal and regulatory infrastructure to ensure smooth nationwide implementation. The MoF stated that the framework was designed to support a competitive and adaptable tax environment, taking into account practical challenges that businesses may face during the transition period.

The changes reflect a broader strategy to modernise the tax system through proactive governance and ensure alignment with the UAE’s public health and fiscal objectives.

Clear deduction mechanism for previously taxed goods

A major feature of the amendments is the tiered taxation structure based on sugar content or other sweeteners. This model introduces varying excise rates depending on the beverage’s composition, replacing the flat 50 per cent tax rate previously applied.

The amendments also provide clarity for businesses with inventory taxed under the previous regime. Taxable entities that imported or produced goods before the new rules take effect, and whose tax liability has decreased as a result, will be eligible to partially reclaim the difference, provided those goods remain unsold.

The MoF reaffirmed that these changes are part of the UAE’s commitment to fiscal sustainability, enhanced tax transparency, and long-term public health improvements, underlining a forward-looking approach to policy reform.

Meet Antonio Roulet Magides: The fintech founder redefining compliance

The 29-year-old founder and CEO of Solvent Global, and managing member of Solvent Capital Partners, tells us how he’s breaking new ground in the world of compliance

Gareth van Zyl
Gareth van Zyl

07 October, 2025

Meet Antonio Roulet Magides: The fintech founder redefining compliance
Antonio Roulet Magides, CEO of Solvent Global, and managing member of Solvent Capital Partners.

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At just 29 years old, Antonio Roulet Magides is already a disruptor in his field.

As founder and CEO of Solvent Global, and managing member of Solvent Capital Partners, he represents a new generation of fintech entrepreneurs transforming compliance from a back-office necessity into a strategic advantage.

Headquartered in London and New York, Solvent Global has built what Magides calls “the compliance operating system for the next generation of financial services.” Its API-first platform helps major banks, insurers and hedge funds automate KYC, sanctions screening and cross-border reporting, cutting false positives by up to 80 per cent and delivering regulator-ready audit trails through explainable AI.

Recently he also took the stage at Money 20/20 Middle East in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia where he joined executives from Dell Technologies, Derayah Financial and Dyna.Ai to discuss how financial institutions can scale secure, AI-driven finance.

At Money 20/20, his company further drew attention for the launch of its new quantitative investment fund, Solvent Capital Partners, which applies Solvent Global’s data-driven approach to asset management.

Beyond compliance, Magides has also been pushing into AI-enabled trading technology through Solvent.Life, a sister company under the Solvent ecosystem. Earlier this year, Global Banking & Finance Review profiled Solvent.Life’s breakthrough in AI-driven image recognition for financial chart analysis — technology that automatically interprets chart patterns and trading setups in real time. Its app, Solvent GPT, available on iOS and Android, uses deep-learning algorithms to analyse uploaded trade screenshots and generate tailored insights, achieving an 80 per cent win ratio in backtesting.

In this interview, he discusses the launch of Solvent Capital Partners, the evolution of RegTech, the value of data, and why the Middle East is his number-one priority for expansion.

You founded Solvent Global while completing your master’s in finance. Can you tell us how it began and what the company does today?

Solvent Global started as a data-conglomerate project while I was completing my master’s in Switzerland. The idea was to build proprietary algorithms for fund managers to gain an edge in the markets. But as the technology evolved, we saw that the data infrastructure we were creating had a much larger purpose. It made sense to apply it to regulatory technology — helping financial institutions automate compliance processes like KYC and sanctions screening.

Today, we call it ‘the compliance operating system for the next generation of financial services’. Our API-first platform connects to billions of verified data points globally, automating onboarding, monitoring, and reporting. We can reduce false positives by up to 80 per cent and deliver regulator-ready audit trails through explainable AI.

You recently launched the Solvent Capital Partners fund. What is its core thesis?

The fund was a natural progression. We realised that the same data that keeps institutions compliant can also generate alpha when structured and interpreted correctly. So we separated the compliance tech business from the investment arm to maintain independence and transparency. Solvent Capital Partners is essentially a quantitative fund that leverages regulatory and financial data to make smarter investment decisions. We use Clear Street as our prime broker, which lets us integrate our quant systems directly and test both discretionary and high-frequency strategies.

Where do you see financial institutions facing the greatest friction in compliance?

Cross-border KYC and sanctions screening remain the toughest challenges. As financial institutions become more global, legacy compliance systems struggle to adapt. They’re slow, costly, and rarely up to date. We’re tackling that with automation — billions of verified data points, an adaptive platform, and RESTful APIs that integrate directly with a client’s existing systems rather than replacing them entirely.

You’ve described data as “the new gold.” How do you manage and protect such sensitive information?

It really is the new commodity. We acquire data from multiple global sources and transform it through proprietary algorithms into actionable intelligence. Protecting that data is absolutely critical. We employ advanced encryption, strict access controls, and even closed-system infrastructure in our offices so that data never leaves our servers. Everything is built around governance and cybersecurity, audited by third-party specialists.

You’ve said the Middle East is your number one priority for growth. Why this region?

The region is undergoing rapid financial evolution. There are ambitious reforms, new digital banks, and a real appetite for innovative RegTech partners. Riyadh reminds me of Singapore twenty years ago: investing heavily in infrastructure, diversifying its economy, and becoming a financial hub. We’re already working with regulators and institutions across Saudi Arabia and the UAE to localise datasets and build compliance models that match local frameworks. It’s an incredibly exciting market for us.

How is AI shaping your business today, and where will it have the biggest impact?

AI is already transforming compliance. We use neural networks and large-language models to automate document verification, risk screening, and regulatory intelligence. Through open repositories like Hugging Face, we fine-tune large models to our proprietary datasets. The next twelve months are about scaling responsibly and securely — making AI an invisible, trusted part of the compliance workflow.

For you, what’s the end goal for Solvent Global?

To make compliance a competitive advantage, not a bottleneck. When compliance becomes intelligent, it doesn’t slow an organisation down — it drives it forward.

Antonio Roulet Magides – CEO of Solvent Global, and managing member of Solvent Capital Partners – recently attended Money 20/20 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Image: Supplied)

AMD signs AI chip-supply deal with OpenAI, shares surge over 34%

Analysts said it was a major vote of confidence in AMD’s AI chips and software but is unlikely to dent Nvidia’s dominance

Reuters
Reuters

07 October, 2025

AMD signs AI chip-supply deal with OpenAI, shares surge over 34%
The agreement closely ties the startup at the centre of the AI boom to AMD, one of the strongest rivals of Nvidia. (Image credit: Getty Images)

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AMD will supply artificial intelligence chips to OpenAI in a multi-year deal that would bring in tens of billions of dollars in annual revenue and give the ChatGPT creator the option to buy up to roughly 10 per cent of the chipmaker.

Shares of the chipmaker surged more than 34 per cent on Monday, putting them on track for their biggest one-day gain in over nine years and adding roughly $80bn to the company’s market value.

The deal, latest in a string of investment commitments, underscores OpenAI and the broader AI industry’s voracious appetite for computing power as companies race toward developing AI technology that meets or exceeds human intelligence.

“We view this deal as certainly transformative, not just for AMD, but for the dynamics of the industry,” said AMD executive vice president Forrest Norrod.

Read more: Sam Altman and G42’s Peng Xiao to headline GITEX GLOBAL 2025 AI dialogue

Vote of confidence

The agreement closely ties the startup at the centre of the AI boom to AMD, one of the strongest rivals of Nvidia, which recently agreed to make substantial investments in OpenAI.

Analysts said it was a major vote of confidence in AMD‘s AI chips and software but is unlikely to dent Nvidia’s dominance, as the market leader continues to sell every AI chip it can make.

It covers the deployment of hundreds of thousands of AMD‘s AI chips, or graphics processing units (GPUs), equivalent to six gigawatts, over several years beginning in the second half of 2026. This is roughly equivalent to the energy needs of 5 million US households, or about thrice the amount of power produced by the Hoover Dam.

AMD said OpenAI would build a one-gigawatt facility based on its forthcoming MI450 series of chips beginning next year, and that it would begin to recognise revenue then.

AMD executives expect the deal to net tens of billions of dollars in annual revenue. Because of the ripple effect of the agreement, AMD expects to receive more than $100bn in new revenue over four years from OpenAI and other customers, they said.

The chipmaker is expected to report revenue of $32.78bn this year, according to LSEG data. In contrast, analysts are expecting Nvidia to report revenue of $206.26bn for the current fiscal year.

AMD has really trailed Nvidia for quite some time. So I think it helps validate their technology,” said Leah Bennett, chief investment strategist at Concurrent Asset Management.

Shares of Nvidia dipped more than 1 per cent.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said the AMD deal will help his startup build enough AI infrastructure to meet its needs.

It was not immediately clear how OpenAI would fund the massive deal.

OpenAI, which is valued at $500bn, generated around $4.3bn in revenue in the first half of 2025 and burned through $2.5bn in cash, according to media reports.

Deal details

As part of the arrangement, AMD issued a warrant that gives OpenAI the ability to buy up to 160 million shares of AMD for 1 cent each over the course of the chip deal. The warrant vests in tranches based on milestones that the two companies have agreed on.

The first tranche will vest after the initial shipment of MI450 chips set for the second half of 2026. The remaining milestones include specific AMD stock price targets that escalate to $600 a share for the final installment of stock to unlock.

In September, Nvidia announced a deal to supply OpenAI with at least 10 gigawatts worth of its systems.

In contrast with the startup’s deal with AMD where it will take a stake in the chipmaker, Nvidia will invest $100bn in the ChatGPT parent under the terms of the agreement announced in September.

Taking a stake in AMD could give OpenAI “the power to potentially influence corporate strategy. With Nvidia, OpenAI is simply the client and not a part-owner,” said Dan Coatsworth, head of markets at A.J. Bell.

OpenAI wants more GPUs

OpenAI has worked with AMD for years, providing inputs on the design of older generations of AI chips such as the MI300X.

The San Francisco-based AI company has been taking a number of steps to ensure it has the chips needed for its future needs.

Altman has floated expectations of reaching 250 gigawatts of compute in total by 2033, The Information has reported.

OpenAI’s deal last month with Nvidia includes the deployment of one gigawatt of the chip giant’s next-generation Vera Rubin processors in late 2026.

OpenAI is also in the process of developing its own silicon for AI use and has partnered with Broadcom, Reuters reported last year.

The startup and its main backer, Microsoft, announced last month that they had signed a non-binding agreement to restructure OpenAI into a for-profit entity.

A person familiar with the matter said the deal with AMD does not change any of OpenAI’s ongoing compute plans, including that effort or its partnership with Microsoft.

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